Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger Aliassime
Updated
Casper Ruud beat Felix Auger Aliassime 5-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Felix Auger Aliassime at 55%. They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Ruud is 6-4 in their last 10, Aliassime 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime a 55% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: 0 pts
Model minus book: -4 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Felix Auger Aliassime at -147 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Casper Ruud | Felix Auger Aliassime | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6936 | 6941 |
| Tour rank | ATP #19 | ATP #17 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 5-1 | 3-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 37-21 | 41-20 |
| UTR | 16.04 | 16.07 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1937 | 1960 |
| Best surface | Clay | Hard |
| Worst surface | Grass | Clay |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Casper Ruud | 5-2 | China Shangai - Masters |
| 09.04.2026 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 7-5, 2-2 | Monaco Monte Carlo |
Recent form
Casper Ruud, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Nuno Borges | L | 1-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 26.10.2026 | Dominic Stricker | W | 4-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Rafael Jodar | L | 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Rafael Jodar | L | 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Felix Auger Aliassime | W | 5-2 |
| 12.10.2026 | Learner Tien | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 10.10.2026 | Bu Yunchaokete | W | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 01.10.2026 | Luciano Darderi | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 25.09.2026 | Francisco Cerundolo | W | 6-7, 6-4, 10-8 |
| 19.09.2026 | Fnu Nidunjianzan | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
Felix Auger Aliassime, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Casper Ruud | L | 5-2 |
| 12.10.2026 | Pablo Carreno Busta | W | 6-3, 4-6, 6-1 |
| 10.10.2026 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W | 4-6, 7-6, 7-5 |
| 30.09.2026 | Karen Khachanov | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 19.09.2026 | Arthur Rinderknech | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 19.09.2026 | Quentin Halys | W | 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 03.09.2026 | Karen Khachanov | L | 6-7, 6-3, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 01.09.2026 | Rinky Hijikata | W | 7-5, 4-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
| 20.08.2026 | Frances Tiafoe | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 19.08.2026 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Casper Ruud | Felix Auger Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-7, 7-6, 6-3, 6-7, 6-1 |
| Alex De Minaur | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
| Alexander Blockx | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
| Alexander Bublik | 1-0 W 15-14, 18-8, 20-4 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-2 |
| Alexander Shevchenko | 1-0 W 6-1, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-1, 6-4 |
| Alexei Popyrin | 2-0 W 6-4, 6-3, W 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
| Andrey Rublev | 1-0 W 9-16, 15-11, 7-17, 17-11, 2-0 |
1-0 W 11-18, 18-11, 7-18, 14-13, 3-2 |
| Ben Shelton | 0-2 L 6-3, 6-4, L 3-6, 6-4, 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 4-6, 7-6, 7-5 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 0-1 L 6-1, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Jannik Sinner | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
0-2 L 6-3, 6-4, L 7-5, 6-1 |
| Jiri Lehecka | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 1-1 W 6-1, 6-2, L 3-6, 7-5, 6-2 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-1 |
| Karen Khachanov | 2-0 W 6-1, 1-6, 6-2, W 9-10, 17-6, 14-9, 14-10 |
0-2 L 6-3, 6-3, L 6-7, 6-3, 6-2, 6-2 |
| Learner Tien | 1-0 W 6-4, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-7, 7-5, 7-6 |
| Mariano Navone | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-2 |
0-1 L 7-6, 7-6 |
| Marin Cilic | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4, 3-6, 7-5 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
| Nuno Borges | 0-1 L 1-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
1-1 W 6-3, 3-6, 6-3, L 3-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1-0 W 6-7, 7-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-3, 7-5 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: ATP Shangai - Masters (China), model gave Casper Ruud 45% at +122
Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger Aliassime: quick answers
Who won Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger Aliassime?
Casper Ruud beat Felix Auger Aliassime 5-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Felix Auger Aliassime at 55%.
What is the head-to-head record between Casper Ruud and Felix Auger Aliassime?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Casper Ruud 5-2 at China Shangai - Masters.
Who is in better form, Casper Ruud or Felix Auger Aliassime?
Casper Ruud is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Felix Auger Aliassime is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Casper Ruud and Felix Auger Aliassime?
Casper Ruud is rated 6936 (ATP #19) and Felix Auger Aliassime is rated 6941 (ATP #17). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger Aliassime?
Casper Ruud is priced at +122 and Felix Auger Aliassime at -147, which implies a 45% and 60% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.