Cian Mcdonnell vs Cas De Ruiter
Updated
Cas De Ruiter beat Cian Mcdonnell 6-3, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Cian Mcdonnell at 59%. Cas De Ruiter leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Mcdonnell is 6-4 in their last 10, Ruiter 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Cian Mcdonnell a 59% favorite. At +229 the sportsbook implies 30% for Cas De Ruiter, 11 points below the model's 41%.
Model minus book: -21 pts
Model minus book: +11 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Cas De Ruiter at +229 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Cian Mcdonnell | Cas De Ruiter | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6184 | 6193 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1691 | ATP #1644 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 4-5 | 2-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 3 Wins |
| Season record | 51-49 | 11-11 |
| UTR | 12.51 | 11.95 |
Head to head
Cas De Ruiter leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.2026 | Cas De Ruiter | 6-3, 6-2 | EUR UTR Pro Tennis Series |
| 21.09.2026 | Cas De Ruiter | 6-2, 4-6, 6-3 | EUR UTR Pro Tennis Series |
Recent form
Cian Mcdonnell, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Jure Siftar | L | 6-2, 4-6, 6-1 |
| 27.10.2026 | Dominik Guzmicky | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 26.10.2026 | Tadeas Paroulek | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Tomas Curras Abasolo | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Oriol Font | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 21.10.2026 | Miguel Semedo | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Nathan Mansfield | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 19.10.2026 | Leonid Sheyngezikht | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 18.10.2026 | Niels Lootsma | W | 7-6, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 17.10.2026 | Juliusz Bienkiewicz | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
Cas De Ruiter, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Levi Saatela | W | 6-7, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Ondrej Hujo | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Ondrej Hujo | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Marshall Tutu | L | 3-6, 6-2, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Dawid Wisniewski | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 12.10.2026 | Cian Mcdonnell | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 26.09.2026 | Sil Hollemans | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 25.09.2026 | Sebastian Prechtel | L | 6-4, 4-6, 7-5 |
| 24.09.2026 | Marcel Hornung | W | 6-4, 6-7, 6-2 |
| 22.09.2026 | Niels Lootsma | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Cian Mcdonnell | Cas De Ruiter |
|---|---|---|
| Dawid Wisniewski | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Levi Saatela | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-7, 6-4, 6-2 |
| Marcel Hornung | 0-1 L 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-7, 6-2 |
| Marshall Tutu | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
0-1 L 3-6, 6-2, 6-1 |
| Niels Lootsma | 1-1 W 7-6, 3-6, 7-6, L 6-1, 6-2 |
0-2 L 6-3, 6-1, L 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| Ondrej Hujo | 2-0 W 5-7, 7-5, 7-6, W 7-6, 5-7, 6-2 |
2-1 W 6-3, 6-3, W 6-3, 6-3, L 7-5, 6-4 |
| Rein Koenders | 1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
1-1 L 6-7, 6-1, 6-2, W 6-4, 7-6 |
| Sebastian Prechtel | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 4-6, 7-5 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-11: ATP UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Cian Mcdonnell 59% at -385
Cian Mcdonnell vs Cas De Ruiter: quick answers
Who won Cian Mcdonnell vs Cas De Ruiter?
Cas De Ruiter beat Cian Mcdonnell 6-3, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Cian Mcdonnell at 59%.
What is the head-to-head record between Cian Mcdonnell and Cas De Ruiter?
Cas De Ruiter leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 12, 2026, won by Cas De Ruiter 6-3, 6-2 at EUR UTR Pro Tennis Series.
Who is in better form, Cian Mcdonnell or Cas De Ruiter?
Cian Mcdonnell is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Cas De Ruiter is 6-4 (current streak: 3 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Cian Mcdonnell and Cas De Ruiter?
Cian Mcdonnell is rated 6184 (ATP #1691) and Cas De Ruiter is rated 6193 (ATP #1644). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Cian Mcdonnell vs Cas De Ruiter?
Cian Mcdonnell is priced at -385 and Cas De Ruiter at +229, which implies a 79% and 30% chance to win. The model rates Cas De Ruiter 11 points higher than the odds do (41% vs 30%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.