Caroline Dolehide vs Ella Mcdonald
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Caroline Dolehide, giving them a 76% chance to win against Ella Mcdonald (24%). Caroline Dolehide leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Dolehide is 7-3 in their last 10, Mcdonald 9-1. At -164, the odds imply 62% for Caroline Dolehide, below the model's 76%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Caroline Dolehide a 76% favorite. At -164 the sportsbook implies 62% for Caroline Dolehide, 14 points below the model's 76%.
Model minus book: +14 pts
Model minus book: -21 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Caroline Dolehide at -164 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Caroline Dolehide | Ella Mcdonald | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6832 | 6689 |
| Tour rank | WTA #171 | WTA #292 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 9-1 |
| Last 30 days | 2-2 | 10-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 21-15 | 42-15 |
| UTR | 11.98 | 11.58 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1669 | 1369 |
| Best surface | Clay | Grass |
| Worst surface | Grass | Hard |
Head to head
Caroline Dolehide leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Caroline Dolehide | 6-3, 6-4 | USA New Braunfels |
Recent form
Caroline Dolehide, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Ella Mcdonald | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 27.10.2026 | Whitney Osuigwe | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 16.10.2026 | Dana Guzman | L | 6-3, 3-6, 6-2 |
| 02.10.2026 | Kate Fakih | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Julieta Pareja | L | 4-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
| 30.09.2026 | Jo Yee Chan | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 16.09.2026 | Magdalena Frech | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 14.09.2026 | Renata Zarazua | W | 6-1, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 13.09.2026 | Sara Sorribes Tormo | W | 4-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 12.09.2026 | Mingge Xu | W | 6-0, 6-4 |
Ella Mcdonald, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Caroline Dolehide | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 28.10.2026 | Elvina Kalieva | W | 6-1, 3-0 |
| 24.10.2026 | Madison Brengle | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 23.10.2026 | Anastasia Tikhonova | W | 6-2, 3-6, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen | W | 4-6, 7-5, 6-1 |
| 21.10.2026 | Rose Marie Nijkamp | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Iryna Shymanovich | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Mathilde Ngijol Carre | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Kate Fakih | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 02.10.2026 | Kristina Penickova | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Caroline Dolehide | Ella Mcdonald |
|---|---|---|
| Elvina Kalieva | 1-0 W 2-6, 7-6, 7-5 |
1-1 W 6-1, 3-0, L 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| Jazmin Ortenzi | 0-1 L 3-2 |
0-1 L 6-1, 7-6 |
| Julieta Pareja | 0-1 L 4-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-1 |
| Kate Fakih | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-4 |
2-0 W 6-2, 6-0, W 6-2, 6-3 |
| Lulu Sun | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
0-1 L 2-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
| Savannah Broadus | 2-0 W 6-1, 6-2, W 6-4, 6-3 |
2-0 W 7-5, 6-3, W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Whitney Osuigwe | 1-0 W 6-1, 7-5 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: WTA New Braunfels (USA), model gave Caroline Dolehide 76% at -164
Caroline Dolehide vs Ella Mcdonald: quick answers
Who will win Caroline Dolehide vs Ella Mcdonald?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Caroline Dolehide, giving them a 76% chance to win against Ella Mcdonald (24%).
What is the head-to-head record between Caroline Dolehide and Ella Mcdonald?
Caroline Dolehide leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Caroline Dolehide 6-3, 6-4 at USA New Braunfels.
Who is in better form, Caroline Dolehide or Ella Mcdonald?
Caroline Dolehide is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Ella Mcdonald is 9-1 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Caroline Dolehide and Ella Mcdonald?
Caroline Dolehide is rated 6832 (WTA #171) and Ella Mcdonald is rated 6689 (WTA #292). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Caroline Dolehide vs Ella Mcdonald?
Caroline Dolehide is priced at -164 and Ella Mcdonald at +120, which implies a 62% and 45% chance to win. The model rates Caroline Dolehide 14 points higher than the odds do (76% vs 62%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.