Carlotta Moccia vs Weronika Falkowska
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Weronika Falkowska, giving them a 95% chance to win against Carlotta Moccia (5%). Weronika Falkowska leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Moccia is 7-3 in their last 10, Falkowska 6-4. At -769, the odds imply 88% for Weronika Falkowska, below the model's 95%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Weronika Falkowska a 95% favorite. At -769 the sportsbook implies 88% for Weronika Falkowska, 6 points below the model's 95%.
Model minus book: -17 pts
Model minus book: +6 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Weronika Falkowska at -769 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Carlotta Moccia | Weronika Falkowska | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6312 | 6601 |
| Tour rank | WTA #959 | WTA #399 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 5-2 | 2-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 23-20 | 61-29 |
| UTR | 10.21 | 11.37 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1369 |
| Best surface | – | Hard |
| Worst surface | – | Clay |
Head to head
Weronika Falkowska leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Weronika Falkowska | 7-5, 6-7, 6-3 | Portugal Loule |
Recent form
Carlotta Moccia, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Weronika Falkowska | L | 7-5, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 21.10.2026 | Chen Yun Tsai | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Sarafina Olivia Hansen | W | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Ares Teixido Garcia | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 08.10.2026 | Britt Du Pree | L | 6-3, 6-7, 6-1 |
| 06.10.2026 | Katarina Kujovic | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 05.10.2026 | Beatriz Castro | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 30.09.2026 | Radka Zelnickova | L | 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 28.09.2026 | Carolina Gomez | W | 6-1, 2-6, 10-3 |
| 27.09.2026 | Georgina Garcia Perez | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
Weronika Falkowska, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Federica Urgesi | L | 6-4, 3-6, 7-5 |
| 23.10.2026 | Esther Adeshina | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Carlotta Moccia | W | 7-5, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 21.10.2026 | Carla Tomai | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 05.10.2026 | Caroline Uebelhoer | L | 6-3, 2-6, 7-6 |
| 04.10.2026 | Doga Turkmen | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 23.09.2026 | Polina Iatcenko | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 22.09.2026 | Ilay Yoruk | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 21.09.2026 | Alana Smith | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 16.09.2026 | Laura Samson | L | 6-7, 6-0, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Carlotta Moccia | Weronika Falkowska |
|---|---|---|
| Britt Du Pree | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-7, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-1 |
| Maria Oliver Sanchez | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: WTA Loule (Portugal), model gave Carlotta Moccia 5% at +353
- 2026-10-26: WTA Loule (Portugal), model gave Carlotta Moccia 5% at +353
- 2026-10-25: WTA Loule (Portugal), model gave Carlotta Moccia 5% at +353
- 2026-10-24: WTA Loule (Portugal), model gave Carlotta Moccia 5% at +353
- 2026-10-23: WTA Loule (Portugal), model gave Carlotta Moccia 5% at +353
- 2026-10-22: WTA Loule (Portugal), model gave Carlotta Moccia 5% at +353
- 2026-10-21: WTA Loule (Portugal), model gave Carlotta Moccia 5% at +353
Carlotta Moccia vs Weronika Falkowska: quick answers
Who will win Carlotta Moccia vs Weronika Falkowska?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Weronika Falkowska, giving them a 95% chance to win against Carlotta Moccia (5%).
What is the head-to-head record between Carlotta Moccia and Weronika Falkowska?
Weronika Falkowska leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Weronika Falkowska 7-5, 6-7, 6-3 at Portugal Loule.
Who is in better form, Carlotta Moccia or Weronika Falkowska?
Carlotta Moccia is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Weronika Falkowska is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Carlotta Moccia and Weronika Falkowska?
Carlotta Moccia is rated 6312 (WTA #959) and Weronika Falkowska is rated 6601 (WTA #399). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Carlotta Moccia vs Weronika Falkowska?
Carlotta Moccia is priced at +353 and Weronika Falkowska at -769, which implies a 22% and 88% chance to win. The model rates Weronika Falkowska 6 points higher than the odds do (95% vs 88%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.