Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Carlota Martinez Cirez

WTA Santa Margherita Di Pula (X) I (Italy), Clay. Wednesday, October 28, 2026, 02:30.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Lucia Cortez Llorca, giving them a 66% chance to win against Carlota Martinez Cirez (34%). Lucia Cortez Llorca leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Llorca is 5-5 in their last 10, Cirez 4-6.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 28, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Lucia Cortez Llorca a 66% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
66%
Book
75%

Model minus book: -9 pts

Model
34%
Book
35%

Model minus book: -1 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Lucia Cortez Llorca at -303 · Model track record

Player comparison

Lucia Cortez LlorcaCarlota Martinez Cirez
Tennis Gauge rating66056540
Tour rankWTA #390WTA #484
Last 10 matches5-54-6
Last 30 days4-22-2
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record48-2534-33
UTR11.3911.2
Elo (52 weeks)13001323
Best surfaceClayClay
Worst surfaceHardHard

Head to head

Lucia Cortez Llorca leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
22.10.2026Lucia Cortez Llorca6-3, 6-2Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula

Recent form

Lucia Cortez Llorca, last 10

DateOpponentScore
23.10.2026Jennifer Ruggeri L6-2, 6-3
22.10.2026Carlota Martinez Cirez W6-3, 6-2
21.10.2026Tena Lukas W6-4, 6-4
14.10.2026Ariana Geerlings L6-4, 6-2
13.10.2026Ekaterine Gorgodze W6-4, 7-6
08.10.2026Caijsa Wilda Hennemann L7-5, 6-4
07.10.2026Angelica Sara W6-2, 6-0
06.10.2026Meritxell Teixido Garcia W6-1, 6-2
23.09.2026Kira Pavlova L6-4, 6-4
15.09.2026Alicia Herrero Linana L2-6, 7-5, 7-5

Carlota Martinez Cirez, last 10

DateOpponentScore
22.10.2026Lucia Cortez Llorca L6-3, 6-2
21.10.2026Bianca Jolie Fernandez W6-4, 7-6
15.10.2026Lucie Petruzelova L6-1, 6-2
07.10.2026Ruth Roura Llaverias L7-6, 6-2
06.10.2026Ainara Fernandez Sanchez W6-2, 6-2
23.09.2026Camilla Gennaro L6-3, 6-2
14.09.2026Andrea Lazaro Garcia L6-2, 6-2
11.09.2026Francesca Pace L6-1, 7-6
10.09.2026Ruth Roura Llaverias W6-4, 6-3
09.09.2026Min Liu W6-0, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentLucia Cortez LlorcaCarlota Martinez Cirez
Amandine Monnot 0-1
L 6-2, 4-6, 6-3
1-0
W 7-5, 6-7, 6-1
Amarissa Kiara Toth 1-0
W 6-2, 6-3
1-0
W 6-1, 5-7, 6-1
Andrea Lazaro Garcia 0-1
L 6-2, 6-0
0-1
L 6-2, 6-2
Beatrice Ricci 0-1
L 7-5, 4-6, 6-3
0-1
L 6-2, 7-6
Caijsa Wilda Hennemann 1-2
L 7-5, 6-4, W 6-4, 4-6, 6-1, L 6-0, 6-1
0-1
L 6-3, 6-4
Elena Korokozidi 0-1
L 3-6, 7-5, 6-0
1-0
W 6-1, 6-3
Jessica Bertoldo 1-0
W 6-2, 5-7, 6-1
1-0
W 7-5, 6-2
Lisa Zaar 1-0
W 6-3, 6-4
0-1
L 6-3, 6-3
Martha Matoula 0-1
L 6-3, 6-1
1-0
W 6-4, 4-6, 6-2
Mia Ristic 1-0
W 7-6, 6-7, 6-4
1-0
W 4-6, 6-4, 6-4
Naiktha Bains 0-1
L 6-3, 6-1
1-0
W 6-0, 6-3
Tena Lukas 1-0
W 6-4, 6-4
0-1
L 6-4, 6-2

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-27: WTA Santa Margherita Di Pula (X) I (Italy), model gave Lucia Cortez Llorca 66% at -303
  • 2026-10-26: WTA Santa Margherita Di Pula (X) I (Italy), model gave Lucia Cortez Llorca 66% at -303
  • 2026-10-25: WTA Santa Margherita Di Pula (X) I (Italy), model gave Lucia Cortez Llorca 66% at -303
  • 2026-10-24: WTA Santa Margherita Di Pula (X) I (Italy), model gave Lucia Cortez Llorca 66% at -303
  • 2026-10-23: WTA Santa Margherita Di Pula (X) I (Italy), model gave Lucia Cortez Llorca 66% at -303
  • 2026-10-22: WTA Santa Margherita Di Pula (X) I (Italy), model gave Lucia Cortez Llorca 66% at -303
  • 2026-10-21: WTA Santa Margherita Di Pula (X) I (Italy), model gave Lucia Cortez Llorca 66% at -303

Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Carlota Martinez Cirez: quick answers

Who will win Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Carlota Martinez Cirez?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Lucia Cortez Llorca, giving them a 66% chance to win against Carlota Martinez Cirez (34%).

What is the head-to-head record between Lucia Cortez Llorca and Carlota Martinez Cirez?

Lucia Cortez Llorca leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Lucia Cortez Llorca 6-3, 6-2 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula.

Who is in better form, Lucia Cortez Llorca or Carlota Martinez Cirez?

Lucia Cortez Llorca is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Carlota Martinez Cirez is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Lucia Cortez Llorca and Carlota Martinez Cirez?

Lucia Cortez Llorca is rated 6605 (WTA #390) and Carlota Martinez Cirez is rated 6540 (WTA #484). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Carlota Martinez Cirez?

Lucia Cortez Llorca is priced at -303 and Carlota Martinez Cirez at +187, which implies a 75% and 35% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.