Matthew William Donald vs Carlos Sanchez Jover
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Carlos Sanchez Jover, giving them a 57% chance to win against Matthew William Donald (43%). Matthew William Donald leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Donald is 9-1 in their last 10, Jover 4-6. At +124, the odds imply 45% for Carlos Sanchez Jover, below the model's 57%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Carlos Sanchez Jover a 57% favorite. At +124 the sportsbook implies 45% for Carlos Sanchez Jover, 12 points below the model's 57%.
Model minus book: -20 pts
Model minus book: +12 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Carlos Sanchez Jover at +124 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Matthew William Donald | Carlos Sanchez Jover | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6583 | 6608 |
| Tour rank | ATP #380 | ATP #342 |
| Last 10 matches | 9-1 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 15-2 | 3-4 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 65-31 | 43-29 |
| UTR | 14.16 | 14.31 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1459 | 1416 |
| Best surface | Clay | Clay |
| Worst surface | Hard | Hard |
Head to head
Matthew William Donald leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Matthew William Donald | 6-4, 5-7, 6-3 | Italy Florence |
Recent form
Matthew William Donald, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Filippo Romano | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Henry Searle | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 20.10.2026 | Carlos Sanchez Jover | W | 6-4, 5-7, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Javier Barranco Cosano | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Gabriele Pennaforti | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 17.10.2026 | Giorgio Tabacco | W | 6-0, 3-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Alexander Weis | W | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Alexander Weis | W | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Jonas Forejtek | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Giovanni Oradini | W | 5-0 |
Carlos Sanchez Jover, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Matthew William Donald | L | 6-4, 5-7, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Marvin Moeller | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 09.10.2026 | Yanaki Milev | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Lorenzo Giustino | W | 2-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Francesco Forti | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 23.09.2026 | Max Alcala Gurri | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 22.09.2026 | Michael Geerts | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 13.09.2026 | Filip Pieczonka | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 08.09.2026 | Gonzalo Bueno | L | 0-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 07.9.2026 | Pedro Vives Marcos | W | 2-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Matthew William Donald | Carlos Sanchez Jover |
|---|---|---|
| Alen Mujakic | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
| Carles Cordoba | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-1 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| Filip Cristian Jianu | 1-0 W 3-6, 6-4, 1-0 |
0-2 L 6-2, 6-2, L 6-3, 5-7, 6-2 |
| Francesco Forti | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-4, 3-6, 6-4 |
| Lorenzo Giustino | 1-0 W 6-7, 6-3, 3-1 |
1-0 W 2-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| Miguel Damas | 1-0 W 6-2, 7-6 |
0-2 L 6-4, 6-1, L 6-4, 7-6 |
| Oleg Prihodko | 1-1 W 6-4, 7-6, L 7-5, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 7-6 |
Matthew William Donald vs Carlos Sanchez Jover: quick answers
Who will win Matthew William Donald vs Carlos Sanchez Jover?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Carlos Sanchez Jover, giving them a 57% chance to win against Matthew William Donald (43%).
What is the head-to-head record between Matthew William Donald and Carlos Sanchez Jover?
Matthew William Donald leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Matthew William Donald 6-4, 5-7, 6-3 at Italy Florence.
Who is in better form, Matthew William Donald or Carlos Sanchez Jover?
Matthew William Donald is 9-1 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Carlos Sanchez Jover is 4-6 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Matthew William Donald and Carlos Sanchez Jover?
Matthew William Donald is rated 6583 (ATP #380) and Carlos Sanchez Jover is rated 6608 (ATP #342). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Matthew William Donald vs Carlos Sanchez Jover?
Matthew William Donald is priced at -172 and Carlos Sanchez Jover at +124, which implies a 63% and 45% chance to win. The model rates Carlos Sanchez Jover 12 points higher than the odds do (57% vs 45%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.