Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Marvin Moeller
Updated
Marvin Moeller beat Carlos Sanchez Jover 7-6, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Carlos Sanchez Jover at 50%. Marvin Moeller leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Jover is 4-6 in their last 10, Moeller 7-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Carlos Sanchez Jover a 50% favorite. At +177 the sportsbook implies 36% for Carlos Sanchez Jover, 14 points below the model's 50%.
Model minus book: +14 pts
Model minus book: -22 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Carlos Sanchez Jover at +177 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Carlos Sanchez Jover | Marvin Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6608 | 6661 |
| Tour rank | ATP #342 | ATP #270 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 3-2 | 6-3 |
| Current streak | 3 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 43-29 | 53-29 |
| UTR | 14.31 | 14.59 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1403 | 1569 |
| Best surface | Clay | Grass |
| Worst surface | Hard | Hard |
Head to head
Marvin Moeller leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Marvin Moeller | 7-6, 6-3 | Italy Catania |
Recent form
Carlos Sanchez Jover, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Matthew William Donald | L | 6-4, 5-7, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Marvin Moeller | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 09.10.2026 | Yanaki Milev | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Lorenzo Giustino | W | 2-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Francesco Forti | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 23.09.2026 | Max Alcala Gurri | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 22.09.2026 | Michael Geerts | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 13.09.2026 | Filip Pieczonka | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 08.09.2026 | Gonzalo Bueno | L | 0-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 07.9.2026 | Pedro Vives Marcos | W | 2-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
Marvin Moeller, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Gianluca Cadenasso | L | 7-5, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Carlo Alberto Caniato | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Carlos Sanchez Jover | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 09.10.2026 | Matej Dodig | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Ryan Nijboer | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Tiago Torres | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 26.09.2026 | Luka Mikrut | L | 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 25.09.2026 | Dali Blanch | W | 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 23.09.2026 | Federico Arnaboldi | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 22.09.2026 | Stefano Travaglia | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Carlos Sanchez Jover | Marvin Moeller |
|---|---|---|
| Carles Cordoba | 1-0 W 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-0 |
| Cezar Cretu | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
1-1 L 6-4, 6-3, W 6-1, 5-7, 6-4 |
| Frederico Ferreira Silva | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-7, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-3, 1-0 |
| Matej Dodig | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
1-1 L 6-2, 6-3, W 6-2, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: ATP Catania (Italy), model gave Carlos Sanchez Jover 50% at +177
Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Marvin Moeller: quick answers
Who won Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Marvin Moeller?
Marvin Moeller beat Carlos Sanchez Jover 7-6, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Carlos Sanchez Jover at 50%.
What is the head-to-head record between Carlos Sanchez Jover and Marvin Moeller?
Marvin Moeller leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Marvin Moeller 7-6, 6-3 at Italy Catania.
Who is in better form, Carlos Sanchez Jover or Marvin Moeller?
Carlos Sanchez Jover is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Marvin Moeller is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Carlos Sanchez Jover and Marvin Moeller?
Carlos Sanchez Jover is rated 6608 (ATP #342) and Marvin Moeller is rated 6661 (ATP #270). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Marvin Moeller?
Carlos Sanchez Jover is priced at +177 and Marvin Moeller at -256, which implies a 36% and 72% chance to win. The model rates Carlos Sanchez Jover 14 points higher than the odds do (50% vs 36%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.