Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Marvin Moeller

ATP Catania (Italy), Clay. Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 04:00.

Updated

Marvin Moeller beat Carlos Sanchez Jover 7-6, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Carlos Sanchez Jover at 50%. Marvin Moeller leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Jover is 4-6 in their last 10, Moeller 7-3.

Result: Marvin Moeller beat Carlos Sanchez Jover 7-6, 6-3. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Carlos Sanchez Jover.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Carlos Sanchez Jover a 50% favorite. At +177 the sportsbook implies 36% for Carlos Sanchez Jover, 14 points below the model's 50%.

Model
50%
Book
36%

Model minus book: +14 pts

Model
50%
Book
72%

Model minus book: -22 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Carlos Sanchez Jover at +177 · Model track record

Player comparison

Carlos Sanchez JoverMarvin Moeller
Tennis Gauge rating66086661
Tour rankATP #342ATP #270
Last 10 matches4-67-3
Last 30 days3-26-3
Current streak3 Losses1 Loss
Season record43-2953-29
UTR14.3114.59
Elo (52 weeks)14031569
Best surfaceClayGrass
Worst surfaceHardHard

Head to head

Marvin Moeller leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
13.10.2026Marvin Moeller7-6, 6-3Italy Catania

Recent form

Carlos Sanchez Jover, last 10

DateOpponentScore
20.10.2026Matthew William Donald L6-4, 5-7, 6-3
13.10.2026Marvin Moeller L7-6, 6-3
09.10.2026Yanaki Milev L7-5, 6-3
08.10.2026Lorenzo Giustino W2-6, 6-2, 6-3
06.10.2026Francesco Forti W6-4, 3-6, 6-4
23.09.2026Max Alcala Gurri L6-3, 6-2
22.09.2026Michael Geerts W6-4, 7-5
13.09.2026Filip Pieczonka L7-5, 6-3
08.09.2026Gonzalo Bueno L0-6, 6-4, 6-4
07.9.2026Pedro Vives Marcos W2-6, 7-6, 6-3

Marvin Moeller, last 10

DateOpponentScore
16.10.2026Gianluca Cadenasso L7-5, 4-6, 7-6
15.10.2026Carlo Alberto Caniato W6-4, 3-6, 6-2
13.10.2026Carlos Sanchez Jover W7-6, 6-3
09.10.2026Matej Dodig L6-2, 6-3
08.10.2026Ryan Nijboer W6-3, 6-3
07.10.2026Tiago Torres W6-4, 6-4
26.09.2026Luka Mikrut L6-3, 3-6, 7-6
25.09.2026Dali Blanch W6-3, 4-6, 6-3
23.09.2026Federico Arnaboldi W6-4, 6-4
22.09.2026Stefano Travaglia W6-4, 4-6, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentCarlos Sanchez JoverMarvin Moeller
Carles Cordoba 1-0
W 4-6, 6-3, 6-1
1-0
W 6-4, 6-0
Cezar Cretu 1-0
W 6-3, 6-2
1-1
L 6-4, 6-3, W 6-1, 5-7, 6-4
Frederico Ferreira Silva 0-1
L 6-2, 6-7, 7-6
1-0
W 6-3, 1-0
Matej Dodig 1-0
W 6-4, 6-4
1-1
L 6-2, 6-3, W 6-2, 6-4

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-12: ATP Catania (Italy), model gave Carlos Sanchez Jover 50% at +177

Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Marvin Moeller: quick answers

Who won Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Marvin Moeller?

Marvin Moeller beat Carlos Sanchez Jover 7-6, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Carlos Sanchez Jover at 50%.

What is the head-to-head record between Carlos Sanchez Jover and Marvin Moeller?

Marvin Moeller leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Marvin Moeller 7-6, 6-3 at Italy Catania.

Who is in better form, Carlos Sanchez Jover or Marvin Moeller?

Carlos Sanchez Jover is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Marvin Moeller is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Carlos Sanchez Jover and Marvin Moeller?

Carlos Sanchez Jover is rated 6608 (ATP #342) and Marvin Moeller is rated 6661 (ATP #270). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Marvin Moeller?

Carlos Sanchez Jover is priced at +177 and Marvin Moeller at -256, which implies a 36% and 72% chance to win. The model rates Carlos Sanchez Jover 14 points higher than the odds do (50% vs 36%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.