Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Hugo Dellien, giving them a 92% chance to win against Carlos Maria Zarate (8%). Zarate is 5-5 in their last 10, Dellien 7-3. At -588, the odds imply 85% for Hugo Dellien, below the model's 92%.
Prediction
The model makes Hugo Dellien a 92% favorite. At -588 the sportsbook implies 85% for Hugo Dellien, 6 points below the model's 92%.
Model minus book: -15 pts
Model minus book: +6 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Hugo Dellien at -588 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Carlos Maria Zarate | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6470 | 6748 |
| Tour rank | ATP #591 | ATP #157 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 5-2 | 6-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 52-27 | 53-27 |
| UTR | 13.68 | 14.8 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1212 | 1619 |
| Best surface | Grass | Clay |
| Worst surface | Clay | Grass |
Head to head
Carlos Maria Zarate and Hugo Dellien haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Carlos Maria Zarate, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Gonzalo Bueno | W | 3-6, 7-5, 7-5 |
| 28.10.2026 | Alan Magadan | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 23.10.2026 | Felipe Meligeni Alves | L | 6-2, 3-6, 7-5 |
| 22.10.2026 | Francisco Comesana | L | 2-6, 7-6 |
| 21.10.2026 | Franco Ribero | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Thiago Seyboth Wild | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Gonzalo Villanueva | W | 6-3, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 29.09.2026 | Felipe Meligeni Alves | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 22.09.2026 | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 05.09.2026 | Lorenzo Gagliardo | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
Hugo Dellien, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 27.10.2026 | Nicolas Jarry | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Juan Manuel La Serna | L | 6-3, 2-0 |
| 18.10.2026 | Thiago Seyboth Wild | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Juan Manuel La Serna | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Luis Guto Miguel | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 13.10.2026 | Bernardo Munk Mesa | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 23.09.2026 | Nicolas Kicker | L | 4-6, 7-5, 6-0 |
| 22.09.2026 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | W | 5-7, 6-4, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Carlos Maria Zarate | Hugo Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Torrealba | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-1 |
| Felipe Meligeni Alves | 0-2 L 6-2, 3-6, 7-5, L 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
| Gonzalo Villanueva | 1-0 W 6-3, 5-7, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-4 |
| Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| Juan Bautista Torres | 1-0 W 6-1, 7-6 |
0-1 L 0-6, 6-4, 6-1 |
| Juan Estevez | 1-1 W 6-1, 6-4, L 6-1, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
| Juan Manuel La Serna | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-7, 6-1 |
2-1 L 6-3, 2-0, W 6-4, 6-3, W 6-3, 6-2 |
| Lautaro Midon | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-1 |
| Maximo Zeitune | 0-1 L 6-2, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Miguel Damas | 1-0 W 6-7, 7-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
| Valerio Aboian | 0-2 L 6-4, 6-1, L 6-3, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-11-01: ATP Guayaquil (XI) (Ecuador), model gave Carlos Maria Zarate 8% at +340
- 2026-10-31: ATP Guayaquil (XI) (Ecuador), model gave Carlos Maria Zarate 8% at +340
- 2026-10-30: ATP Guayaquil (XI) (Ecuador), model gave Carlos Maria Zarate 8% at +340
Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien: quick answers
Who will win Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Hugo Dellien, giving them a 92% chance to win against Carlos Maria Zarate (8%).
Have Carlos Maria Zarate and Hugo Dellien played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Carlos Maria Zarate or Hugo Dellien?
Carlos Maria Zarate is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Hugo Dellien is 7-3 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Carlos Maria Zarate and Hugo Dellien?
Carlos Maria Zarate is rated 6470 (ATP #591) and Hugo Dellien is rated 6748 (ATP #157). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien?
Carlos Maria Zarate is priced at +340 and Hugo Dellien at -588, which implies a 23% and 85% chance to win. The model rates Hugo Dellien 6 points higher than the odds do (92% vs 85%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.