Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate
Updated
Carlos Maria Zarate beat Gonzalo Villanueva 6-3, 5-7, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Gonzalo Villanueva at 73%. Carlos Maria Zarate leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Villanueva is 3-7 in their last 10, Zarate 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Gonzalo Villanueva a 73% favorite. At -175 the sportsbook implies 64% for Gonzalo Villanueva, 10 points below the model's 73%.
Model minus book: +10 pts
Model minus book: -18 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Gonzalo Villanueva at -175 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Gonzalo Villanueva | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6586 | 6470 |
| Tour rank | ATP #377 | ATP #591 |
| Last 10 matches | 3-7 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Current streak | 5 Losses | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 48-33 | 52-27 |
| UTR | 14.21 | 13.68 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1405 | 1167 |
| Best surface | Clay | Hard |
| Worst surface | Hard | Clay |
Head to head
Carlos Maria Zarate leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Carlos Maria Zarate | 6-3, 5-7, 6-4 | Bolivia Santa Cruz de la Sierra |
Recent form
Gonzalo Villanueva, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Lautaro Midon | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 21.10.2026 | Miguel Tobon | L | 6-1, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Carlos Maria Zarate | L | 6-3, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 05.10.2026 | Nick Hardt | L | 7-5, 3-6, 7-5 |
| 02.10.2026 | Guido Ivan Justo | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Mateus Alves | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 30.09.2026 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 22.09.2026 | Guido Ivan Justo | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-1 |
| 29.08.2026 | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | L | 4-6, 6-4, 7-6 |
| 28.08.2026 | Santiago De La Fuente | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
Carlos Maria Zarate, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Gonzalo Bueno | W | 3-6, 7-5, 7-5 |
| 28.10.2026 | Alan Magadan | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 23.10.2026 | Felipe Meligeni Alves | L | 6-2, 3-6, 7-5 |
| 22.10.2026 | Francisco Comesana | L | 2-6, 7-6 |
| 21.10.2026 | Franco Ribero | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Thiago Seyboth Wild | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Gonzalo Villanueva | W | 6-3, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 29.09.2026 | Felipe Meligeni Alves | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 22.09.2026 | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 05.09.2026 | Lorenzo Gagliardo | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Gonzalo Villanueva | Carlos Maria Zarate |
|---|---|---|
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
| Bastian Malla | 1-0 W 4-6, 6-1, 7-5 |
2-1 W 2-6, 6-3, 6-3, L 7-6, 7-6, W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Gabriel Schenekenberg | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-7, 6-0, 6-4 |
| Gonzalo Bueno | 0-1 L 6-4, 5-7, 6-4 |
1-0 W 3-6, 7-5, 7-5 |
| Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 1-4 L 4-6, 6-4, 7-6, L 6-3, 6-1, L 6-3, 7-6, W 6-0, 7-5, L 6-3, 4-6, 7-6 |
0-2 L 6-2, 6-1, L 6-2, 6-2 |
| Juan Bautista Torres | 1-1 W 7-5, 6-7, 6-3, L 6-2, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-1, 7-6 |
| Juan Estevez | 2-1 L 6-2, 6-3, W 6-3, 7-5, W 7-6, 6-0 |
1-1 W 6-1, 6-4, L 6-1, 6-3 |
| Juan Manuel La Serna | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-7, 6-1 |
| Juan Pablo Varillas | 0-2 L 6-3, 7-5, L 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
| Lautaro Midon | 0-2 L 6-3, 6-3, L 7-5, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
| Leonel Cesar Castro | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-0, 1-12 |
1-0 W 6-3, 7-5 |
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-7, 7-6 |
| Nick Hardt | 0-2 L 7-5, 3-6, 7-5, L 6-3, 2-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
| Nicolas Bruna | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
1-1 W 6-3, 7-6, L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Nicolas Oliveira | 0-1 L 2-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
2-0 W 6-2, 6-2, W 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 |
| Thiago Cigarran | 1-0 W 6-2, 7-6 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-1 |
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
| Valentino Grippo | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
| Valerio Aboian | 2-0 W 6-1, 6-1, W 6-7, 6-1, 6-3 |
0-2 L 6-4, 6-1, L 6-3, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: ATP Santa Cruz de la Sierra (Bolivia), model gave Gonzalo Villanueva 73% at -175
Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate: quick answers
Who won Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate?
Carlos Maria Zarate beat Gonzalo Villanueva 6-3, 5-7, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Gonzalo Villanueva at 73%.
What is the head-to-head record between Gonzalo Villanueva and Carlos Maria Zarate?
Carlos Maria Zarate leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Carlos Maria Zarate 6-3, 5-7, 6-4 at Bolivia Santa Cruz de la Sierra.
Who is in better form, Gonzalo Villanueva or Carlos Maria Zarate?
Gonzalo Villanueva is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 5 Losses). Carlos Maria Zarate is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Gonzalo Villanueva and Carlos Maria Zarate?
Gonzalo Villanueva is rated 6586 (ATP #377) and Carlos Maria Zarate is rated 6470 (ATP #591). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate?
Gonzalo Villanueva is priced at -175 and Carlos Maria Zarate at +124, which implies a 64% and 45% chance to win. The model rates Gonzalo Villanueva 10 points higher than the odds do (73% vs 64%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.