Carlos Maria Zarate vs Franco Ribero
Updated
Carlos Maria Zarate beat Franco Ribero 6-1, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Franco Ribero at 51%. Carlos Maria Zarate leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Zarate is 5-5 in their last 10, Ribero 3-7.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Franco Ribero a 51% favorite. At +183 the sportsbook implies 35% for Franco Ribero, 16 points below the model's 51%.
Model minus book: -24 pts
Model minus book: +16 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Franco Ribero at +183 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Carlos Maria Zarate | Franco Ribero | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6470 | 6412 |
| Tour rank | ATP #591 | ATP #749 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 3-7 |
| Last 30 days | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 52-27 | 26-30 |
| UTR | 13.68 | 13.54 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1212 | – |
| Best surface | Grass | – |
| Worst surface | Clay | – |
Head to head
Carlos Maria Zarate leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Carlos Maria Zarate | 6-1, 6-3 | Colombia Cali |
| 17.11.2025 | Carlos Maria Zarate | 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 | Brazil Florianopolis |
Recent form
Carlos Maria Zarate, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Gonzalo Bueno | W | 3-6, 7-5, 7-5 |
| 28.10.2026 | Alan Magadan | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 23.10.2026 | Felipe Meligeni Alves | L | 6-2, 3-6, 7-5 |
| 22.10.2026 | Francisco Comesana | L | 2-6, 7-6 |
| 21.10.2026 | Franco Ribero | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Thiago Seyboth Wild | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Gonzalo Villanueva | W | 6-3, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 29.09.2026 | Felipe Meligeni Alves | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 22.09.2026 | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 05.09.2026 | Lorenzo Gagliardo | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
Franco Ribero, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Carlos Maria Zarate | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Jesse Flores | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Maximo Zeitune | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 04.10.2026 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 31.08.2026 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 30.08.2026 | Danial Spasov | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 26.08.2026 | Daniel Michalski | L | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 16.08.2026 | Gerard Campana Lee | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 09.08.2026 | Mykyta Mashtakov | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Carlos Maria Zarate | Franco Ribero |
|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Torrealba | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Bruno Fernandez | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
1-0 W 3-6, 6-1, 7-5 |
| Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 0-2 L 6-2, 6-1, L 6-2, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-2, 5-7, 6-1 |
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-7, 7-6 |
0-2 L 6-3, 6-2, L 6-2, 6-2 |
| Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 1-1 L 6-2, 1-6, 6-4, W 6-2, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 7-6 |
| Maximo Zeitune | 0-1 L 6-2, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 0-2 L 7-6, 3-6, 7-6, L 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 2-6, 6-4 |
| Ryan Augusto Dos Santos | 1-0 W 6-4, 4-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
| Ryan Dickerson | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-0 |
| Thiago Cigarran | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-1, 7-6 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-20: ATP Cali (VII) (Colombia), model gave Carlos Maria Zarate 49% at -263
Carlos Maria Zarate vs Franco Ribero: quick answers
Who won Carlos Maria Zarate vs Franco Ribero?
Carlos Maria Zarate beat Franco Ribero 6-1, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Franco Ribero at 51%.
What is the head-to-head record between Carlos Maria Zarate and Franco Ribero?
Carlos Maria Zarate leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 21, 2026, won by Carlos Maria Zarate 6-1, 6-3 at Colombia Cali.
Who is in better form, Carlos Maria Zarate or Franco Ribero?
Carlos Maria Zarate is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Franco Ribero is 3-7 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Carlos Maria Zarate and Franco Ribero?
Carlos Maria Zarate is rated 6470 (ATP #591) and Franco Ribero is rated 6412 (ATP #749). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Carlos Maria Zarate vs Franco Ribero?
Carlos Maria Zarate is priced at -263 and Franco Ribero at +183, which implies a 72% and 35% chance to win. The model rates Franco Ribero 16 points higher than the odds do (51% vs 35%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.