Carlos Maria Zarate vs Francisco Comesana
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Francisco Comesana, giving them a 96% chance to win against Carlos Maria Zarate (4%). Francisco Comesana leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Zarate is 5-5 in their last 10, Comesana 5-5. At -1000, the odds imply 91% for Francisco Comesana, below the model's 96%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Francisco Comesana a 96% favorite. At -1000 the sportsbook implies 91% for Francisco Comesana, 5 points below the model's 96%.
Model minus book: -13 pts
Model minus book: +5 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Francisco Comesana at -1000 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Carlos Maria Zarate | Francisco Comesana | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6470 | 6780 |
| Tour rank | ATP #591 | ATP #132 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 52-27 | 21-28 |
| UTR | 13.68 | 15.47 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1212 | 1616 |
| Best surface | Grass | Clay |
| Worst surface | Clay | Grass |
Head to head
Francisco Comesana leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Francisco Comesana | 2-6, 7-6 | Colombia Cali |
Recent form
Carlos Maria Zarate, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Gonzalo Bueno | W | 3-6, 7-5, 7-5 |
| 28.10.2026 | Alan Magadan | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 23.10.2026 | Felipe Meligeni Alves | L | 6-2, 3-6, 7-5 |
| 22.10.2026 | Francisco Comesana | L | 2-6, 7-6 |
| 21.10.2026 | Franco Ribero | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Thiago Seyboth Wild | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Gonzalo Villanueva | W | 6-3, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 29.09.2026 | Felipe Meligeni Alves | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 22.09.2026 | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 05.09.2026 | Lorenzo Gagliardo | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
Francisco Comesana, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Carlos Maria Zarate | L | 2-6, 7-6 |
| 20.10.2026 | Nick Hardt | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 17.10.2026 | Thiago Seyboth Wild | L | 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Felipe Meligeni Alves | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Nick Hardt | W | 6-3, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 06.10.2026 | Guido Ivan Justo | L | 6-7, 7-6, 6-1 |
| 24.09.2026 | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | L | 7-5, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 22.09.2026 | Juan Estevez | W | 6-1, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 01.09.2026 | Flavio Cobolli | L | 3-6, 2-6, 6-3, 6-4, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Carlos Maria Zarate | Francisco Comesana |
|---|---|---|
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 3-6, 1-0 |
| Diego Dedura Palomero | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-0 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-7, 6-0 |
| Felipe Meligeni Alves | 0-2 L 6-2, 3-6, 7-5, L 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-4 |
| Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 0-2 L 6-2, 6-1, L 6-2, 6-2 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-7, 6-4 |
| Juan Estevez | 1-1 W 6-1, 6-4, L 6-1, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-1, 4-6, 6-2 |
| Nick Hardt | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
2-0 W 6-3, 7-5, W 6-3, 4-6, 6-2 |
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
0-1 L 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: ATP Cali (VII) (Colombia), model gave Carlos Maria Zarate 4% at +479
- 2026-10-26: ATP Cali (VII) (Colombia), model gave Carlos Maria Zarate 4% at +479
- 2026-10-25: ATP Cali (VII) (Colombia), model gave Carlos Maria Zarate 4% at +479
- 2026-10-24: ATP Cali (VII) (Colombia), model gave Carlos Maria Zarate 4% at +479
- 2026-10-23: ATP Cali (VII) (Colombia), model gave Carlos Maria Zarate 4% at +479
- 2026-10-22: ATP Cali (VII) (Colombia), model gave Carlos Maria Zarate 4% at +479
- 2026-10-21: ATP Cali (VII) (Colombia), model gave Carlos Maria Zarate 4% at +479
Carlos Maria Zarate vs Francisco Comesana: quick answers
Who will win Carlos Maria Zarate vs Francisco Comesana?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Francisco Comesana, giving them a 96% chance to win against Carlos Maria Zarate (4%).
What is the head-to-head record between Carlos Maria Zarate and Francisco Comesana?
Francisco Comesana leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Francisco Comesana 2-6, 7-6 at Colombia Cali.
Who is in better form, Carlos Maria Zarate or Francisco Comesana?
Carlos Maria Zarate is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Francisco Comesana is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Carlos Maria Zarate and Francisco Comesana?
Carlos Maria Zarate is rated 6470 (ATP #591) and Francisco Comesana is rated 6780 (ATP #132). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Carlos Maria Zarate vs Francisco Comesana?
Carlos Maria Zarate is priced at +479 and Francisco Comesana at -1000, which implies a 17% and 91% chance to win. The model rates Francisco Comesana 5 points higher than the odds do (96% vs 91%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.