Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz
Updated
Carlos Alcaraz beat Juan Manuel Cerundolo 6-3, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Carlos Alcaraz leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Cerundolo is 4-6 in their last 10, Alcaraz 9-1.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Carlos Alcaraz a 82% favorite. At +1180 the sportsbook implies 8% for Juan Manuel Cerundolo, 11 points below the model's 18%.
Model minus book: +11 pts
Model minus book: -16 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Juan Manuel Cerundolo at +1180 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Carlos Alcaraz | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6875 | 7005 |
| Tour rank | ATP #58 | ATP #2 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 9-1 |
| Last 30 days | 2-2 | 6-0 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 40-27 | 40-7 |
| UTR | 15.73 | 16.41 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1797 | 2141 |
| Best surface | Clay | Clay |
| Worst surface | Grass | Grass |
Head to head
Carlos Alcaraz leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10.10.2026 | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-3, 6-3 | China Shangai - Masters |
Recent form
Juan Manuel Cerundolo, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Daniel Altmaier | L | 6-7, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 25.10.2026 | Daniel Altmaier | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 24.10.2026 | Zachary Svajda | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Mariano Navone | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Carlos Alcaraz | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Nicolas Mejia | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 30.09.2026 | Bu Yunchaokete | L | 6-2, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 26.09.2026 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Yi Zhou | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 01.09.2026 | Arthur Gea | L | 6-3, 2-6, 3-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
Carlos Alcaraz, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | W | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 27.10.2026 | Karen Khachanov | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 12.10.2026 | Zizou Bergs | L | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 10.10.2026 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Jiri Lehecka | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 05.10.2026 | Jaume Munar | W | 5-7, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 04.10.2026 | Denis Shapovalov | W | 7-6, 2-1 |
| 03.10.2026 | Matteo Arnaldi | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 01.10.2026 | Alex Michelsen | W | 7-6, 4-6, 6-1 |
| 26.09.2026 | Taylor Fritz | W | 6-3, 4-6, 13-11 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Carlos Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Rinderknech | 1-0 W 4-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
2-0 W 6-7, 6-3, 6-2, W 6-4, 7-6 |
| Casper Ruud | 1-1 L 6-1, 6-2, W 3-6, 7-5, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-1, 7-6 |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Jannik Sinner | 1-0 W 3-6, 2-6, 7-5, 6-1, 6-1 |
1-2 L 7-6, 6-3, W 7-5, 7-6, L 7-6, 7-5 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-1 |
| Sebastian Baez | 1-0 W 6-2, 4-0 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-3 |
| Valentin Vacherot | 0-1 L 5-7, 6-2, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-7, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz: quick answers
Who won Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz?
Carlos Alcaraz beat Juan Manuel Cerundolo 6-3, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Carlos Alcaraz?
Carlos Alcaraz leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 10, 2026, won by Carlos Alcaraz 6-3, 6-3 at China Shangai - Masters.
Who is in better form, Juan Manuel Cerundolo or Carlos Alcaraz?
Juan Manuel Cerundolo is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Carlos Alcaraz is 9-1 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Carlos Alcaraz?
Juan Manuel Cerundolo is rated 6875 (ATP #58) and Carlos Alcaraz is rated 7005 (ATP #2). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz?
Juan Manuel Cerundolo is priced at +1180 and Carlos Alcaraz at -3333, which implies a 8% and 97% chance to win. The model rates Juan Manuel Cerundolo 11 points higher than the odds do (18% vs 8%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.