Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Marvin Moeller
Updated
Marvin Moeller beat Carlo Alberto Caniato 6-4, 3-6, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Marvin Moeller leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Caniato is 6-4 in their last 10, Moeller 7-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Marvin Moeller a 53% favorite. At +137 the sportsbook implies 42% for Marvin Moeller, 11 points below the model's 53%.
Model minus book: -19 pts
Model minus book: +11 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Marvin Moeller at +137 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | Marvin Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6669 | 6661 |
| Tour rank | ATP #257 | ATP #270 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 10-2 | 6-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 33-27 | 53-29 |
| UTR | 14.35 | 14.59 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1505 | 1569 |
| Best surface | Clay | Grass |
| Worst surface | Hard | Hard |
Head to head
Marvin Moeller leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Marvin Moeller | 6-4, 3-6, 6-2 | Italy Catania |
Recent form
Carlo Alberto Caniato, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Marco Trungelliti | L | 4-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Diogo Morais | W | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Marvin Moeller | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Daniel Siniakov | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 08.10.2026 | Francesco Passaro | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 06.10.2026 | Max Wiskandt | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 27.09.2026 | Luka Mikrut | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 26.09.2026 | Francesco Forti | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 25.09.2026 | Jay Clarke | W | 6-0, 2-0 |
| 24.09.2026 | Tom Gentzsch | W | 6-3, 5-7, 7-5 |
Marvin Moeller, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Gianluca Cadenasso | L | 7-5, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Carlo Alberto Caniato | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Carlos Sanchez Jover | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 09.10.2026 | Matej Dodig | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Ryan Nijboer | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Tiago Torres | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 26.09.2026 | Luka Mikrut | L | 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 25.09.2026 | Dali Blanch | W | 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 23.09.2026 | Federico Arnaboldi | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 22.09.2026 | Stefano Travaglia | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Carlo Alberto Caniato | Marvin Moeller |
|---|---|---|
| Andrea Guerrieri | 0-1 L 7-6, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-3, 7-5 |
| Calvin Hemery | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-1 |
1-0 W 7-6, 7-6 |
| Dali Blanch | 0-1 L 6-2, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 |
| Federico Arnaboldi | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
2-1 W 6-4, 6-4, W 7-6, 6-2, L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Jay Clarke | 1-0 W 6-0, 2-0 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-7, 1-0 |
| Lucca Helguera Casado | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
| Luka Mikrut | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-5 |
0-2 L 6-3, 3-6, 7-6, L 5-7, 7-5, 6-3 |
| Marco Cecchinato | 0-1 L 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-7, 6-2 |
| Max Wiskandt | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Maxim Mrva | 0-1 L 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 5-2 |
| Rudolf Molleker | 1-0 W 6-3, 3-6, 7-5 |
0-1 L 2-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
| Tom Gentzsch | 1-0 W 6-3, 5-7, 7-5 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-14: ATP Catania (Italy), model gave Carlo Alberto Caniato 47% at -196
Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Marvin Moeller: quick answers
Who won Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Marvin Moeller?
Marvin Moeller beat Carlo Alberto Caniato 6-4, 3-6, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Carlo Alberto Caniato and Marvin Moeller?
Marvin Moeller leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Marvin Moeller 6-4, 3-6, 6-2 at Italy Catania.
Who is in better form, Carlo Alberto Caniato or Marvin Moeller?
Carlo Alberto Caniato is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Marvin Moeller is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Carlo Alberto Caniato and Marvin Moeller?
Carlo Alberto Caniato is rated 6669 (ATP #257) and Marvin Moeller is rated 6661 (ATP #270). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Marvin Moeller?
Carlo Alberto Caniato is priced at -196 and Marvin Moeller at +137, which implies a 66% and 42% chance to win. The model rates Marvin Moeller 11 points higher than the odds do (53% vs 42%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.