Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato

ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), Clay. Tuesday, October 20, 2026, 08:00.

Updated

Marco Trungelliti beat Carlo Alberto Caniato 4-6, 7-6, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Marco Trungelliti leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Trungelliti is 6-4 in their last 10, Caniato 6-4.

Result: Marco Trungelliti beat Carlo Alberto Caniato 4-6, 7-6, 6-3. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Marco Trungelliti a 75% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
75%
Book
74%

Model minus book: +1 pts

Model
25%
Book
35%

Model minus book: -10 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Marco Trungelliti at -286 · Model track record

Player comparison

Marco TrungellitiCarlo Alberto Caniato
Tennis Gauge rating67936669
Tour rankATP #126ATP #257
Last 10 matches6-46-4
Last 30 days4-37-3
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record41-3233-27
UTR15.414.35
Elo (52 weeks)16431476
Best surfaceClayClay
Worst surfaceGrassHard

Head to head

Marco Trungelliti leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
21.10.2026Marco Trungelliti4-6, 7-6, 6-3Portugal Lisbon

Recent form

Marco Trungelliti, last 10

DateOpponentScore
24.10.2026Alexander Ritschard L6-1, 6-4
23.10.2026Matej Dodig W6-4, 6-2
21.10.2026Carlo Alberto Caniato W4-6, 7-6, 6-3
20.10.2026Tiago Pereira W7-6, 4-6, 6-1
16.10.2026Francesco Passaro L2-6, 7-5, 7-6
15.10.2026Milos Karol W6-2, 6-0
13.10.2026Thiago Monteiro W4-6, 6-1, 6-4
07.10.2026Rei Sakamoto L6-3, 7-5
29.09.2026Alex Molcan L6-4, 7-5
28.09.2026Martin Landaluce W6-1, 6-7, 7-6

Carlo Alberto Caniato, last 10

DateOpponentScore
21.10.2026Marco Trungelliti L4-6, 7-6, 6-3
19.10.2026Diogo Morais W6-0, 6-3
15.10.2026Marvin Moeller L6-4, 3-6, 6-2
13.10.2026Daniel Siniakov W6-3, 6-2
08.10.2026Francesco Passaro L4-6, 6-3, 6-4
06.10.2026Max Wiskandt W6-2, 6-3
27.09.2026Luka Mikrut L6-4, 7-5
26.09.2026Francesco Forti W6-2, 6-4
25.09.2026Jay Clarke W6-0, 2-0
24.09.2026Tom Gentzsch W6-3, 5-7, 7-5

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentMarco TrungellitiCarlo Alberto Caniato
Alex Molcan 0-1
L 6-4, 7-5
0-1
L 6-3, 6-2
Francesco Passaro 0-1
L 2-6, 7-5, 7-6
0-2
L 4-6, 6-3, 6-4, L 4-6, 6-4, 6-4
Hynek Barton 1-0
W 6-3, 7-5
0-1
L 6-1, 6-3
Jay Clarke 1-0
W 6-2, 6-3
1-0
W 6-0, 2-0
Marco Cecchinato 2-0
W 7-6, 7-5, W 4-6, 6-0, 6-3
0-1
L 4-6, 6-3, 6-4
Milos Karol 1-0
W 6-2, 6-0
0-1
L 7-6, 6-1
Yannick Hanfmann 0-1
L 6-4, 7-6
1-0
W 6-3, 3-6, 1-0

Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato: quick answers

Who won Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato?

Marco Trungelliti beat Carlo Alberto Caniato 4-6, 7-6, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Marco Trungelliti and Carlo Alberto Caniato?

Marco Trungelliti leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 21, 2026, won by Marco Trungelliti 4-6, 7-6, 6-3 at Portugal Lisbon.

Who is in better form, Marco Trungelliti or Carlo Alberto Caniato?

Marco Trungelliti is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Carlo Alberto Caniato is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Marco Trungelliti and Carlo Alberto Caniato?

Marco Trungelliti is rated 6793 (ATP #126) and Carlo Alberto Caniato is rated 6669 (ATP #257). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato?

Marco Trungelliti is priced at -286 and Carlo Alberto Caniato at +189, which implies a 74% and 35% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.