Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Francesco Passaro

ATP Palermo (X) (Italy), Clay. Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 08:00.

Updated

Francesco Passaro beat Carlo Alberto Caniato 4-6, 6-3, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Francesco Passaro leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Caniato is 6-4 in their last 10, Passaro 10-0.

Result: Francesco Passaro beat Carlo Alberto Caniato 4-6, 6-3, 6-4. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Francesco Passaro a 69% favorite. At -123 the sportsbook implies 55% for Francesco Passaro, 13 points below the model's 69%.

Model
31%
Book
52%

Model minus book: -21 pts

Model
69%
Book
55%

Model minus book: +13 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Francesco Passaro at -123 · Model track record

Player comparison

Carlo Alberto CaniatoFrancesco Passaro
Tennis Gauge rating66696745
Tour rankATP #257ATP #162
Last 10 matches6-410-0
Last 30 days11-22-2
Current streak1 Loss11 Wins
Season record33-2733-22
UTR14.3514.44
Elo (52 weeks)12171575
Best surfaceGrassHard
Worst surfaceHardGrass

Head to head

Francesco Passaro leads 2-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
08.10.2026Francesco Passaro4-6, 6-3, 6-4Italy Palermo
11.08.2026Francesco Passaro4-6, 6-4, 6-4Italy Todi

Recent form

Carlo Alberto Caniato, last 10

DateOpponentScore
21.10.2026Marco Trungelliti L4-6, 7-6, 6-3
19.10.2026Diogo Morais W6-0, 6-3
15.10.2026Marvin Moeller L6-4, 3-6, 6-2
13.10.2026Daniel Siniakov W6-3, 6-2
08.10.2026Francesco Passaro L4-6, 6-3, 6-4
06.10.2026Max Wiskandt W6-2, 6-3
27.09.2026Luka Mikrut L6-4, 7-5
26.09.2026Francesco Forti W6-2, 6-4
25.09.2026Jay Clarke W6-0, 2-0
24.09.2026Tom Gentzsch W6-3, 5-7, 7-5

Francesco Passaro, last 10

DateOpponentScore
20.10.2026Gastao Elias W6-2, 6-2
18.10.2026Zsombor Piros W4-6, 6-3, 6-2
17.10.2026Matej Dodig W5-7, 6-1, 6-4
16.10.2026Marco Trungelliti W2-6, 7-5, 7-6
15.10.2026Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo W7-6, 7-6
14.10.2026Tiago Torres W6-3, 6-0
11.10.2026Jonas Forejtek W6-3, 6-7, 7-6
10.10.2026Yanaki Milev W6-2, 6-1
09.10.2026Enrico Dalla Valle W6-3, 6-4
08.10.2026Carlo Alberto Caniato W4-6, 6-3, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentCarlo Alberto CaniatoFrancesco Passaro
Calvin Hemery 0-1
L 6-3, 6-1
1-0
W 7-6, 6-2
Marco Cecchinato 0-1
L 4-6, 6-3, 6-4
1-0
W 5-7, 6-4, 6-2
Marco Trungelliti 0-1
L 4-6, 7-6, 6-3
1-0
W 2-6, 7-5, 7-6
Tom Gentzsch 1-0
W 6-3, 5-7, 7-5
1-0
W 7-6, 6-4

Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Francesco Passaro: quick answers

Who won Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Francesco Passaro?

Francesco Passaro beat Carlo Alberto Caniato 4-6, 6-3, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Carlo Alberto Caniato and Francesco Passaro?

Francesco Passaro leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Francesco Passaro 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 at Italy Palermo.

Who is in better form, Carlo Alberto Caniato or Francesco Passaro?

Carlo Alberto Caniato is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Francesco Passaro is 10-0 (current streak: 11 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Carlo Alberto Caniato and Francesco Passaro?

Carlo Alberto Caniato is rated 6669 (ATP #257) and Francesco Passaro is rated 6745 (ATP #162). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Francesco Passaro?

Carlo Alberto Caniato is priced at -110 and Francesco Passaro at -123, which implies a 52% and 55% chance to win. The model rates Francesco Passaro 13 points higher than the odds do (69% vs 55%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.