Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Diogo Morais
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Carlo Alberto Caniato, giving them a 94% chance to win against Diogo Morais (6%). Carlo Alberto Caniato leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Caniato is 6-4 in their last 10, Morais 7-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Carlo Alberto Caniato a 94% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -1 pts
Model minus book: -7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Carlo Alberto Caniato at -2000 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | Diogo Morais | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6669 | 6305 |
| Tour rank | ATP #257 | ATP #1137 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 7-3 | 2-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 33-27 | 24-15 |
| UTR | 14.35 | 13.19 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1476 | – |
| Best surface | Clay | – |
| Worst surface | Hard | – |
Head to head
Carlo Alberto Caniato leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 6-0, 6-3 | Portugal Lisbon |
Recent form
Carlo Alberto Caniato, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Marco Trungelliti | L | 4-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Diogo Morais | W | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Marvin Moeller | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Daniel Siniakov | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 08.10.2026 | Francesco Passaro | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 06.10.2026 | Max Wiskandt | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 27.09.2026 | Luka Mikrut | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 26.09.2026 | Francesco Forti | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 25.09.2026 | Jay Clarke | W | 6-0, 2-0 |
| 24.09.2026 | Tom Gentzsch | W | 6-3, 5-7, 7-5 |
Diogo Morais, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Carlo Alberto Caniato | L | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 25.09.2026 | Alec Deckers | L | 6-7, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Giulio Perego | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 23.09.2026 | Lucas Poullain | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 21.09.2026 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 20.09.2026 | Lemuel Cassidy | W | 6-0, 6-0 |
| 19.09.2026 | Filipe Sustelo | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 16.09.2026 | Robin Bertrand | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 14.09.2026 | Tomas Curras Abasolo | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 13.09.2026 | Joel Lamotte | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Carlo Alberto Caniato | Diogo Morais |
|---|---|---|
| Izan Almazan Valiente | 2-0 W 6-4, 6-3, W 6-2, 6-1 |
0-1 L 7-6, 3-6, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-19: ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), model gave Diogo Morais 5% at +671
- 2026-10-18: ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), model gave Diogo Morais 5% at +671
Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Diogo Morais: quick answers
Who will win Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Diogo Morais?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Carlo Alberto Caniato, giving them a 94% chance to win against Diogo Morais (6%).
What is the head-to-head record between Carlo Alberto Caniato and Diogo Morais?
Carlo Alberto Caniato leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Carlo Alberto Caniato 6-0, 6-3 at Portugal Lisbon.
Who is in better form, Carlo Alberto Caniato or Diogo Morais?
Carlo Alberto Caniato is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Diogo Morais is 7-3 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Carlo Alberto Caniato and Diogo Morais?
Carlo Alberto Caniato is rated 6669 (ATP #257) and Diogo Morais is rated 6305 (ATP #1137). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Diogo Morais?
Carlo Alberto Caniato is priced at -2000 and Diogo Morais at +678, which implies a 95% and 13% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.