Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Carla Giambelli

WTA Santa Margherita Di Pula (IX) II (Italy), Clay. Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 02:00.

Updated

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur beat Carla Giambelli 6-1, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Steur is 7-3 in their last 10, Giambelli 4-6.

Result: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur beat Carla Giambelli 6-1, 6-1. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur a 93% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
93%
Book
94%

Model minus book: -1 pts

Model
7%
Book
15%

Model minus book: -8 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur at -1667 · Model track record

Player comparison

Joelle Lilly Sophie SteurCarla Giambelli
Tennis Gauge rating66876364
Tour rankWTA #297WTA #822
Last 10 matches7-34-6
Last 30 days7-32-2
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record53-2517-11
UTR11.6310.41
Elo (52 weeks)1300–
Best surfaceHard–
Worst surfaceClay–

Head to head

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur leads 2-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
08.10.2026Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur6-1, 6-1Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula
23.09.2026Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur6-2, 6-4Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula

Recent form

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur, last 10

DateOpponentScore
15.10.2026Tamara Zidansek L6-2, 6-1
13.10.2026Mina Hodzic W6-4, 6-3
11.10.2026Lisa Zaar W7-6, 3-6, 7-6
10.10.2026Alessandra Mazzola W6-4, 6-3
09.10.2026Maria Andrienko W6-3, 6-0
08.10.2026Carla Giambelli W6-1, 6-1
07.10.2026Nellie Taraba Wallberg W6-3, 4-6, 6-3
24.09.2026Marie Mettraux L6-1, 7-5
23.09.2026Carla Giambelli W6-2, 6-4
19.09.2026Clara Burel L6-1, 6-4

Carla Giambelli, last 10

DateOpponentScore
22.10.2026Jennifer Ruggeri L6-3, 6-3
21.10.2026Paula Ormaechea W6-2, 6-3
13.10.2026Nellie Taraba Wallberg L6-2, 6-3
08.10.2026Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur L6-1, 6-1
07.10.2026Agnese Gentili W6-1, 6-3
23.09.2026Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur L6-2, 6-4
11.09.2026Eva Marie Voracek L6-4, 6-4
09.09.2026Charlotte Pikkaart W6-1, 1-6, 6-4
03.09.2026Carolina Gasparini L6-2, 6-2
01.09.2026Elza Tomase W6-2, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentJoelle Lilly Sophie SteurCarla Giambelli
Nellie Taraba Wallberg 1-0
W 6-3, 4-6, 6-3
0-1
L 6-2, 6-3

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Carla Giambelli: quick answers

Who won Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Carla Giambelli?

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur beat Carla Giambelli 6-1, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur and Carla Giambelli?

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur 6-1, 6-1 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula.

Who is in better form, Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur or Carla Giambelli?

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Carla Giambelli is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur and Carla Giambelli?

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur is rated 6687 (WTA #297) and Carla Giambelli is rated 6364 (WTA #822). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Carla Giambelli?

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur is priced at -1667 and Carla Giambelli at +580, which implies a 94% and 15% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.