Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Camilo Ugo Carabelli, giving them a 94% chance to win against Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano (6%). Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Carabelli is 4-6 in their last 10, Serrano 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Camilo Ugo Carabelli a 94% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: 0 pts
Model minus book: -8 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Camilo Ugo Carabelli at -1667 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6850 | 6475 |
| Tour rank | ATP #84 | ATP #576 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 2-1 | 9-5 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 3 Wins |
| Season record | 24-26 | 30-29 |
| UTR | 15.27 | 13.49 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1681 | 1269 |
| Best surface | Clay | Grass |
| Worst surface | Grass | Clay |
Head to head
Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 2-0 | Ecuador Guayaquil |
Recent form
Camilo Ugo Carabelli, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano | W | 2-0 |
| 27.10.2026 | Federico Coria | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Felix Auger Aliassime | L | 4-6, 7-6, 7-5 |
| 08.10.2026 | Ilia Simakin | W | 2-6, 6-2, 7-5 |
| 28.09.2026 | Rinky Hijikata | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 24.09.2026 | Federico Cina | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 01.09.2026 | Jan Lennard Struff | L | 6-4, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 21.08.2026 | Moez Echargui | L | 6-2, 5-0 |
| 20.08.2026 | Nicolas Mejia | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 13.08.2026 | Miomir Kecmanovic | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Alvaro Guillen Meza | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 26.10.2026 | Filip Misolic | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 25.10.2026 | Jose Pereira | W | 6-1, 1-0 |
| 20.10.2026 | Gustavo Heide | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Gustavo Heide | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Franco Ribero | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Matteo Covato | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 17.10.2026 | Juan Sebastian Osorio | L | 6-2, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Ivan Dreycopp | W | 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Felipe De Dios | W | 6-2, 2-6, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Guido Ivan Justo | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-0 |
0-1 L 6-0, 6-1 |
| Nicolas Mejia | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-4 |
1-1 W 7-5, 6-2, L 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: ATP Guayaquil (XI) (Ecuador), model gave Camilo Ugo Carabelli 94% at -1667
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano: quick answers
Who will win Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Camilo Ugo Carabelli, giving them a 94% chance to win against Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano (6%).
What is the head-to-head record between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano?
Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Camilo Ugo Carabelli 2-0 at Ecuador Guayaquil.
Who is in better form, Camilo Ugo Carabelli or Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano?
Camilo Ugo Carabelli is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano is 6-4 (current streak: 3 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano?
Camilo Ugo Carabelli is rated 6850 (ATP #84) and Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano is rated 6475 (ATP #576). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano?
Camilo Ugo Carabelli is priced at -1667 and Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano at +656, which implies a 94% and 13% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.