Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger Aliassime
Updated
Felix Auger Aliassime beat Camilo Ugo Carabelli 4-6, 7-6, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Felix Auger Aliassime leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Carabelli is 4-6 in their last 10, Aliassime 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime a 90% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: +1 pts
Model minus book: -6 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Felix Auger Aliassime at -2000 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Felix Auger Aliassime | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6850 | 6941 |
| Tour rank | ATP #84 | ATP #17 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 24-26 | 41-20 |
| UTR | 15.27 | 16.07 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1698 | 1963 |
| Best surface | Clay | Hard |
| Worst surface | Grass | Clay |
Head to head
Felix Auger Aliassime leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10.10.2026 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 4-6, 7-6, 7-5 | China Shangai - Masters |
Recent form
Camilo Ugo Carabelli, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano | W | 2-0 |
| 27.10.2026 | Federico Coria | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Felix Auger Aliassime | L | 4-6, 7-6, 7-5 |
| 08.10.2026 | Ilia Simakin | W | 2-6, 6-2, 7-5 |
| 28.09.2026 | Rinky Hijikata | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 24.09.2026 | Federico Cina | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 01.09.2026 | Jan Lennard Struff | L | 6-4, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 21.08.2026 | Moez Echargui | L | 6-2, 5-0 |
| 20.08.2026 | Nicolas Mejia | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 13.08.2026 | Miomir Kecmanovic | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
Felix Auger Aliassime, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Casper Ruud | L | 5-2 |
| 12.10.2026 | Pablo Carreno Busta | W | 6-3, 4-6, 6-1 |
| 10.10.2026 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W | 4-6, 7-6, 7-5 |
| 30.09.2026 | Karen Khachanov | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 19.09.2026 | Arthur Rinderknech | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 19.09.2026 | Quentin Halys | W | 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 03.09.2026 | Karen Khachanov | L | 6-7, 6-3, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 01.09.2026 | Rinky Hijikata | W | 7-5, 4-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
| 20.08.2026 | Frances Tiafoe | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 19.08.2026 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Felix Auger Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 7-5, 6-1 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-7, 6-2 |
0-1 L 4-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
| Alexander Shevchenko | 0-1 L 6-3, 4-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-1, 6-4 |
| Andrey Rublev | 0-1 L 6-1, 1-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
1-0 W 11-18, 18-11, 7-18, 14-13, 3-2 |
| Brandon Nakashima | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 5-7, 6-1, 7-6, 7-6 |
| Flavio Cobolli | 0-1 L 6-7, 6-1, 6-4 |
0-1 L 4-6, 6-4, 6-4, 6-4 |
| Frances Tiafoe | 1-0 W 7-6, 7-6 |
0-2 L 6-3, 6-4, L 3-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| Gael Monfils | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 1-0 W 2-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-1 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-1 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | 1-0 W 1-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
| Karen Khachanov | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
0-2 L 6-3, 6-3, L 6-7, 6-3, 6-2, 6-2 |
| Learner Tien | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-7, 7-5, 7-6 |
| Mariano Navone | 1-0 W 6-2, 7-5 |
0-1 L 7-6, 7-6 |
| Marton Fucsovics | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-1, 6-2 |
2-0 W 6-3, 6-4, W 7-6, 7-5 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | 1-0 W 3-6, 7-5, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-3, 4-6, 6-1 |
| Rinky Hijikata | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-5, 4-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | 1-2 L 6-2, 2-6, 6-3, L 6-3, 6-4, W 6-2, 6-3 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-0, 7-5, 6-1 |
| Titouan Droguet | 0-1 L 6-0, 3-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-7, 6-1 |
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger Aliassime: quick answers
Who won Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger Aliassime?
Felix Auger Aliassime beat Camilo Ugo Carabelli 4-6, 7-6, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Felix Auger Aliassime?
Felix Auger Aliassime leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 10, 2026, won by Felix Auger Aliassime 4-6, 7-6, 7-5 at China Shangai - Masters.
Who is in better form, Camilo Ugo Carabelli or Felix Auger Aliassime?
Camilo Ugo Carabelli is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Felix Auger Aliassime is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Felix Auger Aliassime?
Camilo Ugo Carabelli is rated 6850 (ATP #84) and Felix Auger Aliassime is rated 6941 (ATP #17). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger Aliassime?
Camilo Ugo Carabelli is priced at +997 and Felix Auger Aliassime at -2000, which implies a 9% and 95% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.