Yannik Kelm vs Calvin Mueller

ATP Offenbach (Germany), Indoors. Wednesday, October 14, 2026, 02:00.

Updated

Calvin Mueller beat Yannik Kelm 6-3, 5-7, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Yannik Kelm at 76%. Calvin Mueller leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Kelm is 6-4 in their last 10, Mueller 8-2.

Result: Calvin Mueller beat Yannik Kelm 6-3, 5-7, 6-4. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Yannik Kelm.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Yannik Kelm a 76% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
76%
Book
73%

Model minus book: +3 pts

Model
24%
Book
37%

Model minus book: -12 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Yannik Kelm at -270 · Model track record

Player comparison

Yannik KelmCalvin Mueller
Tennis Gauge rating64716410
Tour rankATP #588ATP #755
Last 10 matches6-48-2
Last 30 days1-01-2
Current streak2 Losses2 Wins
Season record52-2432-24
UTR14.1413.47

Head to head

Calvin Mueller leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
14.10.2026Calvin Mueller6-3, 5-7, 6-4Germany Offenbach

Recent form

Yannik Kelm, last 10

DateOpponentScore
25.10.2026Matisse Bobichon L3-6, 6-3, 7-5
14.10.2026Calvin Mueller L6-3, 5-7, 6-4
13.10.2026Pierre Yves Bailly W6-3, 6-4
31.07.2026Tom Sickenberger L7-6, 6-0
30.07.2026Aaron Funk W6-4, 6-1
29.07.2026Deney Wassermann W7-6, 7-5
25.07.2026Patrick Zahraj L6-7, 6-3, 6-2
24.07.2026Johan Nikles W6-2, 7-5
23.07.2026David Eichenseher W6-4, 6-3
21.07.2026John Hallquist Lithen W6-2, 6-2

Calvin Mueller, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Maxim Shin W7-6, 6-3
28.10.2026Abdulaziz Usmonjonov W6-0, 6-1
23.10.2026Arthur Nagel L6-3, 3-6, 6-3
22.10.2026Florent Lagarrigue W7-5, 6-1
20.10.2026Christian Djonov W7-6, 3-0
17.10.2026Mika Petkovic L5-7, 6-2, 6-2
16.10.2026Flynn Thomas W6-3, 6-0
16.10.2026Flynn Thomas W6-3, 6-0
15.10.2026Jelle Sels W6-1, 6-4
14.10.2026Yannik Kelm W6-3, 5-7, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentYannik KelmCalvin Mueller
Daniel De Jonge 0-1
L 6-4, 4-6, 6-0
0-1
L 6-4, 6-4
Giuseppe La Vela 0-1
L 6-3, 5-7, 6-2
1-0
W 4-6, 6-2, 6-4
Jakub Filip 1-0
W 3-6, 6-4, 6-1
1-0
W 7-5, 6-4
Mika Petkovic 1-0
W 6-4, 6-2
0-1
L 5-7, 6-2, 6-2
Peter Fajta 1-0
W 3-6, 7-5, 6-1
1-0
W 6-4, 7-5

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-13: ATP Offenbach (Germany), model gave Yannik Kelm 76% at -270

Yannik Kelm vs Calvin Mueller: quick answers

Who won Yannik Kelm vs Calvin Mueller?

Calvin Mueller beat Yannik Kelm 6-3, 5-7, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Yannik Kelm at 76%.

What is the head-to-head record between Yannik Kelm and Calvin Mueller?

Calvin Mueller leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Calvin Mueller 6-3, 5-7, 6-4 at Germany Offenbach.

Who is in better form, Yannik Kelm or Calvin Mueller?

Yannik Kelm is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Calvin Mueller is 8-2 (current streak: 2 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Yannik Kelm and Calvin Mueller?

Yannik Kelm is rated 6471 (ATP #588) and Calvin Mueller is rated 6410 (ATP #755). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Yannik Kelm vs Calvin Mueller?

Yannik Kelm is priced at -270 and Calvin Mueller at +173, which implies a 73% and 37% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.