Luca Van Assche vs Bu Yunchaokete

ATP Shangai - Masters (China), Hard. Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 03:00.

Updated

Bu Yunchaokete beat Luca Van Assche 7-6, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Luca Van Assche at 57%. Bu Yunchaokete leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Assche is 4-6 in their last 10, Yunchaokete 5-5.

Result: Bu Yunchaokete beat Luca Van Assche 7-6, 6-3. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Luca Van Assche.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Luca Van Assche a 57% favorite. At +130 the sportsbook implies 43% for Luca Van Assche, 14 points below the model's 57%.

Model
57%
Book
43%

Model minus book: +14 pts

Model
43%
Book
60%

Model minus book: -17 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Luca Van Assche at +130 · Model track record

Player comparison

Luca Van AsscheBu Yunchaokete
Tennis Gauge rating68726819
Tour rankATP #59ATP #111
Last 10 matches4-65-5
Last 30 days0-13-2
Current streak2 Losses1 Loss
Season record49-2739-22
UTR15.515.42
Elo (52 weeks)17751685
Best surfaceClayGrass
Worst surfaceGrassClay

Head to head

Bu Yunchaokete leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
08.10.2026Bu Yunchaokete7-6, 6-3China Shangai - Masters

Recent form

Luca Van Assche, last 10

DateOpponentScore
26.10.2026Learner Tien L6-3, 6-1
23.10.2026Lorenzo Musetti L7-6, 6-7, 6-4
22.10.2026Valentin Vacherot W2-6, 6-4, 6-4
20.10.2026Clement Tabur W7-6, 6-3
08.10.2026Bu Yunchaokete L7-6, 6-3
30.09.2026Arthur Fils L6-3, 6-2
02.09.2026Denis Shapovalov L6-0, 6-4, 7-6
30.08.2026Cameron Norrie W6-7, 6-2, 6-2, 6-3
25.08.2026Aleksandar Kovacevic L6-1, 7-6
23.08.2026Stefanos Sakellaridis W6-1, 6-4

Bu Yunchaokete, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Yunseong Chung L7-5, 6-4
26.10.2026Min Hyuk Cho W6-1, 6-0
10.10.2026Casper Ruud L6-1, 7-6
08.10.2026Luca Van Assche W7-6, 6-3
02.10.2026Novak Djokovic L4-6, 7-6, 6-2
30.09.2026Juan Manuel Cerundolo W6-2, 5-7, 6-4
27.09.2026Roman Safiullin L6-3, 6-3
26.09.2026Kamil Majchrzak W7-6, 6-7, 6-2
24.09.2026Michael Zheng W6-4, 6-3
04.09.2026Michael Zheng L6-3, 2-6, 6-2, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentLuca Van AsscheBu Yunchaokete
Alexis Galarneau 0-1
L 7-6, 6-4
0-1
L 7-6, 6-4
Clement Tabur 1-0
W 7-6, 6-3
0-1
L 5-7, 7-6, 6-4
Daniil Glinka 1-0
W 6-3, 6-0
1-0
W 6-4, 6-4
Denis Shapovalov 0-1
L 6-0, 6-4, 7-6
0-1
L 6-3, 7-6, 6-1
Hugo Dellien 0-1
L 6-2, 7-5
1-0
W 6-4, 6-0
Juan Manuel Cerundolo 0-1
L 7-6, 6-4
1-0
W 6-2, 5-7, 6-4
Leandro Riedi 1-0
W 3-6, 7-6, 6-4
0-1
L 3-6, 6-3, 6-2
Rafael Jodar 0-1
L 6-3, 0-6, 6-1
1-0
W 6-2, 6-1, 6-1
Roman Safiullin 0-1
L 7-5, 3-6, 6-2
0-1
L 6-3, 6-3
Tristan Schoolkate 1-0
W 6-3, 6-3
1-0
W 7-5, 6-4

Luca Van Assche vs Bu Yunchaokete: quick answers

Who won Luca Van Assche vs Bu Yunchaokete?

Bu Yunchaokete beat Luca Van Assche 7-6, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Luca Van Assche at 57%.

What is the head-to-head record between Luca Van Assche and Bu Yunchaokete?

Bu Yunchaokete leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Bu Yunchaokete 7-6, 6-3 at China Shangai - Masters.

Who is in better form, Luca Van Assche or Bu Yunchaokete?

Luca Van Assche is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Bu Yunchaokete is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Luca Van Assche and Bu Yunchaokete?

Luca Van Assche is rated 6872 (ATP #59) and Bu Yunchaokete is rated 6819 (ATP #111). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Luca Van Assche vs Bu Yunchaokete?

Luca Van Assche is priced at +130 and Bu Yunchaokete at -147, which implies a 43% and 60% chance to win. The model rates Luca Van Assche 14 points higher than the odds do (57% vs 43%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.