Mateus Alves vs Bruno Fernandez
Updated
Mateus Alves beat Bruno Fernandez 6-1, 3-6, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Mateus Alves leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Alves is 6-4 in their last 10, Fernandez 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Mateus Alves a 76% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -9 pts
Model minus book: +1 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Mateus Alves at -556 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Mateus Alves | Bruno Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6444 | 6445 |
| Tour rank | ATP #655 | ATP #652 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 8-2 | 4-5 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 40-20 | 26-29 |
| UTR | 13.85 | 13.48 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1244 | 1130 |
| Best surface | Clay | Hard |
| Worst surface | Hard | Clay |
Head to head
Mateus Alves leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.2026 | Mateus Alves | 6-1, 3-6, 6-3 | Bolivia Santa Cruz de la Sierra |
Recent form
Mateus Alves, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Jose Pereira | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Bernardo Munk Mesa | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Thiago Seyboth Wild | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 12.10.2026 | Bruno Fernandez | W | 6-1, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Jose Pereira | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 04.10.2026 | Bautista De La Pena | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 01.10.2026 | Gonzalo Villanueva | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 29.09.2026 | Jose Pereira | W | 6-2, 1-6, 6-4 |
| 27.09.2026 | Pedro Sakamoto | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 26.09.2026 | Wilson Leite | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
Bruno Fernandez, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.2026 | Mateus Alves | L | 6-1, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | Nicolas Donoso | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 04.10.2026 | Bernardo Munk Mesa | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 30.09.2026 | Lautaro Midon | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 29.09.2026 | Wilson Leite | W | 6-4, 1-6, 6-2 |
| 28.09.2026 | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | L | 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 27.09.2026 | Federico Zeballos | W | 3-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
| 22.09.2026 | Franco Roncadelli | L | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 21.09.2026 | Tomas Farjat | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 20.09.2026 | Dante Pagani | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Mateus Alves | Bruno Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Bernardo Munk Mesa | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
| Ezequiel Monferrer | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-1 |
| Gonzalo Bueno | 0-1 L 4-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-2, 7-5 |
| Nick Hardt | 0-1 L 7-6, 3-6, 6-2 |
0-2 L 3-6, 6-3, 6-3, L 7-5, 6-2 |
| Nicolas Villalon | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-0, 6-2 |
| Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 1-0 W 6-7, 6-1, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-3, 4-6, 7-6 |
| Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | 1-1 L 7-6, 7-5, W 6-4, 6-3 |
1-1 L 7-6, 4-6, 6-3, W 6-2, 3-6, 6-3 |
| Wilson Leite | 2-0 W 7-5, 6-2, W 6-1, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-4, 1-6, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-11: ATP Santa Cruz de la Sierra (Bolivia), model gave Mateus Alves 76% at -556
Mateus Alves vs Bruno Fernandez: quick answers
Who won Mateus Alves vs Bruno Fernandez?
Mateus Alves beat Bruno Fernandez 6-1, 3-6, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Mateus Alves and Bruno Fernandez?
Mateus Alves leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 12, 2026, won by Mateus Alves 6-1, 3-6, 6-3 at Bolivia Santa Cruz de la Sierra.
Who is in better form, Mateus Alves or Bruno Fernandez?
Mateus Alves is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Bruno Fernandez is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Mateus Alves and Bruno Fernandez?
Mateus Alves is rated 6444 (ATP #655) and Bruno Fernandez is rated 6445 (ATP #652). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Mateus Alves vs Bruno Fernandez?
Mateus Alves is priced at -556 and Bruno Fernandez at +329, which implies a 85% and 23% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.