Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Brandon Nakashima, giving them a 85% chance to win against Kyrian Jacquet (15%). Brandon Nakashima leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Jacquet is 6-4 in their last 10, Nakashima 5-5. At -213, the odds imply 68% for Brandon Nakashima, below the model's 85%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Brandon Nakashima a 85% favorite. At -213 the sportsbook implies 68% for Brandon Nakashima, 17 points below the model's 85%.
Model minus book: -23 pts
Model minus book: +17 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Brandon Nakashima at -213 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Kyrian Jacquet | Brandon Nakashima | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6832 | 6935 |
| Tour rank | ATP #96 | ATP #21 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 6-2 | 2-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 43-21 | 38-23 |
| UTR | 15.17 | 16.04 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1716 | 1911 |
| Best surface | Grass | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Brandon Nakashima leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Brandon Nakashima | 6-4, 6-3 | France Lyon |
Recent form
Kyrian Jacquet, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Brandon Nakashima | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Matteo Berrettini | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 19.10.2026 | Michael Mmoh | W | 7-6 |
| 18.10.2026 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 06.10.2026 | Rei Sakamoto | L | 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 05.10.2026 | Tianhui Zhang | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 04.10.2026 | Jaume Munar | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 02.10.2026 | Luciano Darderi | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 01.10.2026 | Holger Rune | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 28.09.2026 | Andrey Rublev | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
Brandon Nakashima, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Tallon Griekspoor | L | 6-1, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 23.10.2026 | Flavio Cobolli | L | 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 22.10.2026 | Kyrian Jacquet | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Hamad Medjedovic | W | 7-6, 6-7, 6-2 |
| 11.10.2026 | Alexander Bublik | L | 6-7, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 09.10.2026 | Matteo Berrettini | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 01.10.2026 | Ugo Humbert | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 25.09.2026 | Jakub Mensik | W | 6-1, 3-6, 10-7 |
| 02.09.2026 | Alex Michelsen | L | 6-3, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 31.08.2026 | Sebastian Baez | W | 6-2, 6-1, 6-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Kyrian Jacquet | Brandon Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Blockx | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-4, 7-6 |
0-1 L 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| Alexander Bublik | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-7, 6-3, 7-6 |
| Luciano Darderi | 1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
| Matteo Berrettini | 1-0 W 7-6, 7-5 |
1-0 W 7-6, 7-5 |
| Mattia Bellucci | 1-0 W 6-7, 6-4, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Quentin Halys | 1-0 W 7-6, 4-6, 10-3 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Rafael Jodar | 0-1 L 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-4 |
| Titouan Droguet | 1-0 W 6-7, 6-3, 6-3 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-2, 7-5 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Kyrian Jacquet 15% at +163
- 2026-10-26: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Kyrian Jacquet 15% at +163
- 2026-10-25: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Kyrian Jacquet 15% at +163
- 2026-10-24: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Kyrian Jacquet 15% at +163
- 2026-10-23: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Kyrian Jacquet 15% at +163
- 2026-10-22: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Kyrian Jacquet 15% at +163
- 2026-10-21: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Kyrian Jacquet 15% at +163
Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima: quick answers
Who will win Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Brandon Nakashima, giving them a 85% chance to win against Kyrian Jacquet (15%).
What is the head-to-head record between Kyrian Jacquet and Brandon Nakashima?
Brandon Nakashima leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Brandon Nakashima 6-4, 6-3 at France Lyon.
Who is in better form, Kyrian Jacquet or Brandon Nakashima?
Kyrian Jacquet is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Brandon Nakashima is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Kyrian Jacquet and Brandon Nakashima?
Kyrian Jacquet is rated 6832 (ATP #96) and Brandon Nakashima is rated 6935 (ATP #21). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima?
Kyrian Jacquet is priced at +163 and Brandon Nakashima at -213, which implies a 38% and 68% chance to win. The model rates Brandon Nakashima 17 points higher than the odds do (85% vs 68%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.