Hamad Medjedovic vs Brandon Nakashima
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Brandon Nakashima, giving them a 80% chance to win against Hamad Medjedovic (20%). Brandon Nakashima leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Medjedovic is 2-8 in their last 10, Nakashima 5-5. At -270, the odds imply 73% for Brandon Nakashima, below the model's 80%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Brandon Nakashima a 80% favorite. At -270 the sportsbook implies 73% for Brandon Nakashima, 7 points below the model's 80%.
Model minus book: -12 pts
Model minus book: +7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Brandon Nakashima at -270 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Hamad Medjedovic | Brandon Nakashima | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6866 | 6935 |
| Tour rank | ATP #67 | ATP #21 |
| Last 10 matches | 2-8 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Current streak | 3 Losses | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 22-17 | 38-23 |
| UTR | 15.74 | 16.04 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1744 | 1911 |
| Best surface | Clay | Grass |
| Worst surface | Hard | Clay |
Head to head
Brandon Nakashima leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Brandon Nakashima | 7-6, 6-7, 6-2 | France Lyon |
Recent form
Hamad Medjedovic, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Alex Molcan | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Brandon Nakashima | L | 7-6, 6-7, 6-2 |
| 08.10.2026 | Thiago Agustin Tirante | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 19.09.2026 | Vilius Gaubas | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 30.08.2026 | Kamil Majchrzak | L | 6-3, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 14.08.2026 | Marco Trungelliti | L | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 04.08.2026 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 29.06.2026 | Sebastian Ofner | L | 1-6, 6-2, 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 18.06.2026 | Ugo Humbert | L | 2-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 16.06.2026 | Arthur Rinderknech | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
Brandon Nakashima, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Tallon Griekspoor | L | 6-1, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 23.10.2026 | Flavio Cobolli | L | 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 22.10.2026 | Kyrian Jacquet | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Hamad Medjedovic | W | 7-6, 6-7, 6-2 |
| 11.10.2026 | Alexander Bublik | L | 6-7, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 09.10.2026 | Matteo Berrettini | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 01.10.2026 | Ugo Humbert | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 25.09.2026 | Jakub Mensik | W | 6-1, 3-6, 10-7 |
| 02.09.2026 | Alex Michelsen | L | 6-3, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 31.08.2026 | Sebastian Baez | W | 6-2, 6-1, 6-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Hamad Medjedovic | Brandon Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | 1-0 W 6-4, 3-6, 7-6 |
2-0 W 6-2, 7-5, W 7-6, 6-4 |
| Alex De Minaur | 1-1 W 6-3, 6-4, L 6-7, 6-2, 6-2, 6-1 |
2-0 W 7-6, 6-4, W 7-5, 6-3 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | 1-0 W 7-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 7-6, 5-7, 7-5 |
| Daniel Altmaier | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-1 |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 5-7, 6-1, 7-6, 7-6 |
| Jakub Mensik | 0-1 L 6-1, 3-6, 6-3 |
2-0 W 6-1, 3-6, 10-7, W 7-6, 3-6, 6-4 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 7-5 |
| Mattia Bellucci | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
| Nuno Borges | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 |
| Quentin Halys | 1-0 W 6-2, 3-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Ugo Humbert | 0-1 L 2-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
Hamad Medjedovic vs Brandon Nakashima: quick answers
Who will win Hamad Medjedovic vs Brandon Nakashima?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Brandon Nakashima, giving them a 80% chance to win against Hamad Medjedovic (20%).
What is the head-to-head record between Hamad Medjedovic and Brandon Nakashima?
Brandon Nakashima leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Brandon Nakashima 7-6, 6-7, 6-2 at France Lyon.
Who is in better form, Hamad Medjedovic or Brandon Nakashima?
Hamad Medjedovic is 2-8 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Brandon Nakashima is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Hamad Medjedovic and Brandon Nakashima?
Hamad Medjedovic is rated 6866 (ATP #67) and Brandon Nakashima is rated 6935 (ATP #21). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Hamad Medjedovic vs Brandon Nakashima?
Hamad Medjedovic is priced at +204 and Brandon Nakashima at -270, which implies a 33% and 73% chance to win. The model rates Brandon Nakashima 7 points higher than the odds do (80% vs 73%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.