Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar

ATP Shangai - Masters (China), Hard. Wednesday, October 14, 2026, 09:00.

Updated

Rafael Jodar beat Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-7, 6-4, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Rafael Jodar leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Zandschulp is 5-5 in their last 10, Jodar 7-3.

Result: Rafael Jodar beat Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-7, 6-4, 6-2. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Rafael Jodar a 72% favorite. At -204 the sportsbook implies 67% for Rafael Jodar, 5 points below the model's 72%.

Model
28%
Book
39%

Model minus book: -11 pts

Model
72%
Book
67%

Model minus book: +5 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Rafael Jodar at -204 · Model track record

Player comparison

Botic Van De ZandschulpRafael Jodar
Tennis Gauge rating68986980
Tour rankATP #45ATP #5
Last 10 matches5-57-3
Last 30 days6-24-1
Current streak3 Losses1 Loss
Season record34-3060-20
UTR15.6716.18
Elo (52 weeks)18011971
Best surfaceHardClay
Worst surfaceGrassGrass

Head to head

Rafael Jodar leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
14.10.2026Rafael Jodar6-7, 6-4, 6-2China Shangai - Masters

Recent form

Botic Van De Zandschulp, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Alex Michelsen L5-7, 6-3, 6-3
20.10.2026Clement Chidekh L6-1, 6-4
14.10.2026Rafael Jodar L6-7, 6-4, 6-2
12.10.2026Arthur Fils W7-5, 6-4
10.10.2026Alex Michelsen W6-4, 6-4
08.10.2026Daniel Merida Aguilar W1-6, 6-3, 6-4
01.10.2026Francisco Cerundolo L5-7, 6-4, 6-3
29.09.2026Jie Cui W6-4, 6-4
28.09.2026Valentin Royer W4-6, 6-2, 6-4
25.09.2026Nikoloz Basilashvili L6-4, 7-5

Rafael Jodar, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Valentin Vacherot L7-6, 2-6, 7-6
27.10.2026Alejandro Tabilo W6-4, 6-2
18.10.2026Alejandro Davidovich Fokina L1-6, 7-6, 6-4
17.10.2026Daniil Medvedev W6-3, 6-4
16.10.2026Casper Ruud W4-6, 6-4, 6-3
15.10.2026Casper Ruud W4-6, 6-4, 6-3
14.10.2026Botic Van De Zandschulp W6-7, 6-4, 6-2
12.10.2026Jiri Lehecka W4-6, 7-6, 6-4
10.10.2026Thiago Agustin Tirante W4-6, 6-2, 6-3
01.10.2026Adolfo Daniel Vallejo L6-1, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentBotic Van De ZandschulpRafael Jodar
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 1-1
W 6-2, 6-0, L 4-6, 6-3, 7-6
0-1
L 6-1, 6-3
Aleksandar Kovacevic 2-0
W 6-3, 6-7, 6-4, 6-0, W 2-6, 6-2, 7-6
1-0
W 6-1, 6-0, 6-4
Alex De Minaur 1-1
W 6-4, 7-5, 6-2, L 3-6, 7-6, 7-5
1-0
W 6-3, 6-1
Alex Michelsen 1-1
L 5-7, 6-3, 6-3, W 6-4, 6-4
1-0
W 7-6, 6-7, 4-6, 6-3, 6-3
Alexander Bublik 0-1
L 6-3, 6-3
1-0
W 6-2, 6-3
Alexander Zverev 0-2
L 6-2, 7-5, 6-1, L 6-2, 7-5, 6-1
0-1
L 7-6, 6-1, 6-3
Alexandre Muller 1-0
W 7-5, 6-3
1-0
W 6-2, 2-0
Arthur Fils 1-0
W 7-5, 6-4
2-1
W 7-6, 6-3, W 7-6, 6-3, L 3-6, 6-3, 6-2
Benjamin Bonzi 0-1
L 7-6, 6-4
1-0
W 6-4, 6-4
Brandon Nakashima 1-0
W 6-3, 4-6, 7-6, 7-6
0-1
L 7-6, 6-4
Daniil Medvedev 1-0
W 6-3, 7-6
1-0
W 6-3, 6-4
Denis Shapovalov 1-0
W 7-5, 6-3
1-1
W 7-5, 4-6, 7-5, L 6-1, 6-2
Jaime Faria 0-1
L 6-3, 6-4
1-0
W 6-1, 6-4
Jakub Mensik 0-1
L 6-4, 7-5
0-1
L 6-2, 6-4, 6-4
Joao Fonseca 0-1
L 6-4, 7-6
1-0
W 7-6, 4-6, 6-1
Luciano Darderi 1-0
W 6-1, 6-0
0-1
L 7-6, 5-7, 6-0
Pablo Carreno Busta 0-1
L 6-3, 6-2
2-0
W 3-6, 6-3, 1-6, 6-3, 6-4, W 4-6, 4-6, 6-1, 6-2, 6-2
Taylor Fritz 0-1
L 6-3, 6-7, 6-3
0-2
L 7-6, 6-4, L 7-6, 6-4
Thiago Agustin Tirante 1-0
W 6-4, 6-3
1-0
W 4-6, 6-2, 6-3

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-13: ATP Shangai - Masters (China), model gave Botic Van De Zandschulp 28% at +159

Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar: quick answers

Who won Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar?

Rafael Jodar beat Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-7, 6-4, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Botic Van De Zandschulp and Rafael Jodar?

Rafael Jodar leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Rafael Jodar 6-7, 6-4, 6-2 at China Shangai - Masters.

Who is in better form, Botic Van De Zandschulp or Rafael Jodar?

Botic Van De Zandschulp is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Rafael Jodar is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Botic Van De Zandschulp and Rafael Jodar?

Botic Van De Zandschulp is rated 6898 (ATP #45) and Rafael Jodar is rated 6980 (ATP #5). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar?

Botic Van De Zandschulp is priced at +159 and Rafael Jodar at -204, which implies a 39% and 67% chance to win. The model rates Rafael Jodar 5 points higher than the odds do (72% vs 67%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.