Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
Updated
Botic Van De Zandschulp beat Daniel Merida Aguilar 1-6, 6-3, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Daniel Merida Aguilar at 67%. Botic Van De Zandschulp leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Zandschulp is 5-5 in their last 10, Aguilar 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar a 67% favorite. At -112 the sportsbook implies 53% for Daniel Merida Aguilar, 14 points below the model's 67%.
Model minus book: -19 pts
Model minus book: +14 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Daniel Merida Aguilar at -112 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Daniel Merida Aguilar | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6898 | 6898 |
| Tour rank | ATP #45 | ATP #44 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 3-4 | 1-0 |
| Current streak | 3 Losses | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 34-30 | 47-27 |
| UTR | 15.67 | 15.87 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1816 | 1875 |
| Best surface | Hard | Hard |
| Worst surface | Grass | Grass |
Head to head
Botic Van De Zandschulp leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08.10.2026 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 1-6, 6-3, 6-4 | China Shangai - Masters |
Recent form
Botic Van De Zandschulp, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Alex Michelsen | L | 5-7, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Clement Chidekh | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Rafael Jodar | L | 6-7, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 12.10.2026 | Arthur Fils | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 10.10.2026 | Alex Michelsen | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | W | 1-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Francisco Cerundolo | L | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 29.09.2026 | Jie Cui | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 28.09.2026 | Valentin Royer | W | 4-6, 6-2, 6-4 |
| 25.09.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
Daniel Merida Aguilar, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 08.10.2026 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | L | 1-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 19.09.2026 | Alejandro Tabilo | W | 5-7, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 05.09.2026 | Alex Michelsen | L | 7-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 02.09.2026 | Andrey Rublev | W | 6-7, 6-2, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 30.08.2026 | Marton Fucsovics | W | 6-4, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 18.08.2026 | Taylor Fritz | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 16.08.2026 | Zizou Bergs | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 15.08.2026 | Marin Cilic | W | 3-6, 6-1, 6-1 |
| 12.08.2026 | Learner Tien | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Botic Van De Zandschulp | Daniel Merida Aguilar |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | 2-0 W 6-3, 6-7, 6-4, 6-0, W 2-6, 6-2, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-3, 5-7, 6-2 |
| Alex Michelsen | 1-1 L 5-7, 6-3, 6-3, W 6-4, 6-4 |
1-2 L 7-6, 6-4, 6-3, W 6-4, 6-7, 6-1, L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Damir Dzumhur | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-2, 5-7, 6-2 |
| Daniil Medvedev | 1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
0-2 L 7-6, 6-1, L 3-6, 6-3, 7-5, 6-2 |
| Francesco Maestrelli | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
2-0 W 7-5, 6-4, W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Jan Choinski | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-1, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-3, 7-5 |
| Lorenzo Giustino | 0-1 L 7-5, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-4, 2-0 |
| Mariano Navone | 0-1 L 5-7, 7-6, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-2, 4-6, 7-5 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-4, 2-6, 6-3 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1-0 W 6-4, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-7, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
| Taylor Fritz | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Ugo Humbert | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
| Zizou Bergs | 1-0 W 3-6, 7-6, 4-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Daniel Merida Aguilar: quick answers
Who won Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Botic Van De Zandschulp beat Daniel Merida Aguilar 1-6, 6-3, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Daniel Merida Aguilar at 67%.
What is the head-to-head record between Botic Van De Zandschulp and Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Botic Van De Zandschulp leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Botic Van De Zandschulp 1-6, 6-3, 6-4 at China Shangai - Masters.
Who is in better form, Botic Van De Zandschulp or Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Botic Van De Zandschulp is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Daniel Merida Aguilar is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Botic Van De Zandschulp and Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Botic Van De Zandschulp is rated 6898 (ATP #45) and Daniel Merida Aguilar is rated 6898 (ATP #44). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Botic Van De Zandschulp is priced at -110 and Daniel Merida Aguilar at -112, which implies a 52% and 53% chance to win. The model rates Daniel Merida Aguilar 14 points higher than the odds do (67% vs 53%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.