Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

ATP Shangai - Masters (China), Hard. Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 01:30.

Updated

Botic Van De Zandschulp beat Daniel Merida Aguilar 1-6, 6-3, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Daniel Merida Aguilar at 67%. Botic Van De Zandschulp leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Zandschulp is 5-5 in their last 10, Aguilar 5-5.

Result: Botic Van De Zandschulp beat Daniel Merida Aguilar 1-6, 6-3, 6-4. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Daniel Merida Aguilar.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar a 67% favorite. At -112 the sportsbook implies 53% for Daniel Merida Aguilar, 14 points below the model's 67%.

Model
33%
Book
52%

Model minus book: -19 pts

Model
67%
Book
53%

Model minus book: +14 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Daniel Merida Aguilar at -112 · Model track record

Player comparison

Botic Van De ZandschulpDaniel Merida Aguilar
Tennis Gauge rating68986898
Tour rankATP #45ATP #44
Last 10 matches5-55-5
Last 30 days3-41-0
Current streak3 Losses2 Losses
Season record34-3047-27
UTR15.6715.87
Elo (52 weeks)18161875
Best surfaceHardHard
Worst surfaceGrassGrass

Head to head

Botic Van De Zandschulp leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
08.10.2026Botic Van De Zandschulp1-6, 6-3, 6-4China Shangai - Masters

Recent form

Botic Van De Zandschulp, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Alex Michelsen L5-7, 6-3, 6-3
20.10.2026Clement Chidekh L6-1, 6-4
14.10.2026Rafael Jodar L6-7, 6-4, 6-2
12.10.2026Arthur Fils W7-5, 6-4
10.10.2026Alex Michelsen W6-4, 6-4
08.10.2026Daniel Merida Aguilar W1-6, 6-3, 6-4
01.10.2026Francisco Cerundolo L5-7, 6-4, 6-3
29.09.2026Jie Cui W6-4, 6-4
28.09.2026Valentin Royer W4-6, 6-2, 6-4
25.09.2026Nikoloz Basilashvili L6-4, 7-5

Daniel Merida Aguilar, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Daniil Medvedev L7-6, 6-1
08.10.2026Botic Van De Zandschulp L1-6, 6-3, 6-4
19.09.2026Alejandro Tabilo W5-7, 6-3, 6-3
05.09.2026Alex Michelsen L7-6, 6-4, 6-3
02.09.2026Andrey Rublev W6-7, 6-2, 6-4, 6-4
30.08.2026Marton Fucsovics W6-4, 6-4, 6-2
18.08.2026Taylor Fritz L6-3, 6-4
16.08.2026Zizou Bergs W6-3, 6-2
15.08.2026Marin Cilic W3-6, 6-1, 6-1
12.08.2026Learner Tien L6-3, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentBotic Van De ZandschulpDaniel Merida Aguilar
Aleksandar Kovacevic 2-0
W 6-3, 6-7, 6-4, 6-0, W 2-6, 6-2, 7-6
0-1
L 6-3, 5-7, 6-2
Alex Michelsen 1-1
L 5-7, 6-3, 6-3, W 6-4, 6-4
1-2
L 7-6, 6-4, 6-3, W 6-4, 6-7, 6-1, L 6-3, 6-4
Damir Dzumhur 1-0
W 6-3, 6-3
1-0
W 6-2, 5-7, 6-2
Daniil Medvedev 1-0
W 6-3, 7-6
0-2
L 7-6, 6-1, L 3-6, 6-3, 7-5, 6-2
Francesco Maestrelli 1-0
W 6-3, 6-2
2-0
W 7-5, 6-4, W 6-2, 6-4
Jan Choinski 1-0
W 6-3, 6-1, 7-6
1-0
W 6-3, 7-5
Lorenzo Giustino 0-1
L 7-5, 7-6
1-0
W 6-4, 2-0
Mariano Navone 0-1
L 5-7, 7-6, 7-5
0-1
L 6-2, 4-6, 7-5
Nikoloz Basilashvili 0-1
L 6-4, 7-5
0-1
L 6-4, 2-6, 6-3
Stefanos Tsitsipas 1-0
W 6-4, 7-6
0-1
L 6-4, 6-2
Tallon Griekspoor 0-1
L 6-2, 6-7, 6-4
1-0
W 6-3, 6-1
Taylor Fritz 0-1
L 6-3, 6-7, 6-3
0-1
L 6-3, 6-4
Ugo Humbert 0-1
L 6-3, 6-4
1-0
W 6-3, 6-3
Zizou Bergs 1-0
W 3-6, 7-6, 4-6, 7-6, 6-3
1-0
W 6-3, 6-2

Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Daniel Merida Aguilar: quick answers

Who won Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Daniel Merida Aguilar?

Botic Van De Zandschulp beat Daniel Merida Aguilar 1-6, 6-3, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Daniel Merida Aguilar at 67%.

What is the head-to-head record between Botic Van De Zandschulp and Daniel Merida Aguilar?

Botic Van De Zandschulp leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Botic Van De Zandschulp 1-6, 6-3, 6-4 at China Shangai - Masters.

Who is in better form, Botic Van De Zandschulp or Daniel Merida Aguilar?

Botic Van De Zandschulp is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Daniel Merida Aguilar is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Botic Van De Zandschulp and Daniel Merida Aguilar?

Botic Van De Zandschulp is rated 6898 (ATP #45) and Daniel Merida Aguilar is rated 6898 (ATP #44). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Daniel Merida Aguilar?

Botic Van De Zandschulp is priced at -110 and Daniel Merida Aguilar at -112, which implies a 52% and 53% chance to win. The model rates Daniel Merida Aguilar 14 points higher than the odds do (67% vs 53%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.