Bianca Andreescu vs Lucrezia Stefanini

WTA Rovereto (Italy), Hard. Friday, October 16, 2026, 10:30.

Updated

Bianca Andreescu beat Lucrezia Stefanini 6-2, 7-5, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Lucrezia Stefanini at 54%. Bianca Andreescu leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Andreescu is 8-2 in their last 10, Stefanini 7-3.

Result: Bianca Andreescu beat Lucrezia Stefanini 6-2, 7-5. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Lucrezia Stefanini.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Lucrezia Stefanini a 54% favorite. At +136 the sportsbook implies 42% for Lucrezia Stefanini, 11 points below the model's 54%.

Model
46%
Book
66%

Model minus book: -19 pts

Model
54%
Book
42%

Model minus book: +11 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Lucrezia Stefanini at +136 · Model track record

Player comparison

Bianca AndreescuLucrezia Stefanini
Tennis Gauge rating69216892
Tour rankWTA #106WTA #123
Last 10 matches8-27-3
Last 30 days4-18-2
Current streak6 Wins1 Win
Season record36-1838-27
UTR12.0412.14
Elo (52 weeks)16921695
Best surfaceGrassHard
Worst surfaceClayClay

Head to head

Bianca Andreescu leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
16.10.2026Bianca Andreescu6-2, 7-5Italy Rovereto

Recent form

Bianca Andreescu, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Katherine Hui W6-3, 6-2
18.10.2026Dominika Salkova W7-6, 6-2
17.10.2026Lucie Havlickova W6-3, 6-1
16.10.2026Lucrezia Stefanini W6-2, 7-5
15.10.2026Antonia Ruzic W7-5, 3-6, 7-5
13.10.2026Mia Ristic W6-2, 6-2
09.10.2026Anna Blinkova L6-3, 6-4
08.10.2026Mariam Bolkvadze W6-4, 6-3
06.10.2026Alana Smith W6-0, 6-0
14.09.2026Cristina Bucsa L6-4, 6-3

Lucrezia Stefanini, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Isabella Maria Serban W6-3, 6-2
16.10.2026Bianca Andreescu L6-2, 7-5
14.10.2026Harmony Tan W6-2, 6-3
13.10.2026Laura Mair W3-6, 6-2, 7-5
11.10.2026Ayla Aksu L7-5, 2-6, 6-2
10.10.2026Anna Blinkova W6-2, 6-3
09.10.2026Polina Iatcenko W6-3, 7-5
07.10.2026Noma Noha Akugue W6-2, 6-3
06.10.2026Carole Monnet W7-5, 6-4
02.10.2026Leolia Jeanjean L6-4, 1-6, 6-1

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentBianca AndreescuLucrezia Stefanini
Anna Blinkova 0-1
L 6-3, 6-4
1-0
W 6-2, 6-3
Eva Vedder 1-0
W 6-1, 6-2
1-0
W 6-4, 6-2
Fiona Ferro 0-1
L 6-0, 2-6, 6-4
0-1
L 6-2, 6-4
Polona Hercog 1-0
W 6-4, 6-2
0-1
L 7-6, 7-5
Shuai Zhang 0-1
L 7-6, 7-6
0-1
L 6-2, 6-2
Sofia Kenin 1-1
W 6-4, 7-5, L 6-4, 6-4
1-0
W 7-5, 1-6, 6-2
Tamara Zidansek 0-1
L 2-6, 6-3, 6-4
1-0
W 6-1, 5-7, 6-0

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-15: WTA Rovereto (Italy), model gave Bianca Andreescu 46% at -192

Bianca Andreescu vs Lucrezia Stefanini: quick answers

Who won Bianca Andreescu vs Lucrezia Stefanini?

Bianca Andreescu beat Lucrezia Stefanini 6-2, 7-5, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Lucrezia Stefanini at 54%.

What is the head-to-head record between Bianca Andreescu and Lucrezia Stefanini?

Bianca Andreescu leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Bianca Andreescu 6-2, 7-5 at Italy Rovereto.

Who is in better form, Bianca Andreescu or Lucrezia Stefanini?

Bianca Andreescu is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 6 Wins). Lucrezia Stefanini is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Win).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Bianca Andreescu and Lucrezia Stefanini?

Bianca Andreescu is rated 6921 (WTA #106) and Lucrezia Stefanini is rated 6892 (WTA #123). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Bianca Andreescu vs Lucrezia Stefanini?

Bianca Andreescu is priced at -192 and Lucrezia Stefanini at +136, which implies a 66% and 42% chance to win. The model rates Lucrezia Stefanini 11 points higher than the odds do (54% vs 42%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.