Dane Sweeny vs Bernard Tomic

ATP Jinan (China), Hard. Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 11:00.

Updated

Dane Sweeny beat Bernard Tomic 2-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Dane Sweeny leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Sweeny is 5-5 in their last 10, Tomic 7-3.

Result: Dane Sweeny beat Bernard Tomic 2-2. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Dane Sweeny a 53% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
53%
Book
54%

Model minus book: -1 pts

Model
47%
Book
53%

Model minus book: -6 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Dane Sweeny at -118 · Model track record

Player comparison

Dane SweenyBernard Tomic
Tennis Gauge rating67316655
Tour rankATP #171ATP #272
Last 10 matches5-57-3
Last 30 days3-38-4
Current streak2 Losses1 Loss
Season record38-3036-27
UTR14.3914.38
Elo (52 weeks)14961523
Best surfaceGrassGrass
Worst surfaceClayClay

Head to head

Dane Sweeny leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
14.11.2025Dane Sweeny5-7, 6-3, 6-2Australia Brisbane

Recent form

Dane Sweeny, last 10

DateOpponentScore
15.10.2026Shintaro Mochizuki L6-3, 7-6
06.10.2026Kimmer Coppejans L6-3, 6-2
05.10.2026Tristan Schoolkate W3-6, 6-3, 6-2
02.10.2026Alex Bolt L6-3, 7-6
01.10.2026Petr Bar Biryukov W6-4, 6-1
30.09.2026Omar Jasika W6-2, 3-6, 6-3
24.09.2026Taro Daniel L7-6, 6-2
05.09.2026Luciano Darderi L6-4, 6-3, 6-3
03.09.2026Lorenzo Musetti W3-6, 6-1, 6-2, 6-2
01.09.2026Corentin Moutet W7-6, 6-4, 3-0

Bernard Tomic, last 10

DateOpponentScore
08.10.2026Matteo Arnaldi L6-3, 6-1
06.10.2026Timofey Skatov W7-5, 6-4
05.10.2026Terence Atmane W6-3, 4-6, 5-3
01.10.2026Yuta Shimizu W5-7, 6-2, 7-6
29.09.2026Fajing Sun W6-4, 6-7, 6-3
23.09.2026Fajing Sun L6-4, 7-5
22.09.2026Rigele Te W6-7, 6-4, 7-5
19.09.2026Pavel Kotov L7-6, 7-6
18.09.2026Alexandr Binda W6-3, 6-4
17.09.2026Jake Delaney W6-3, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentDane SweenyBernard Tomic
Arthur Fery 0-1
L 6-4, 4-6, 6-1
0-1
L 6-4, 6-2
Christopher Oconnell 1-1
L 6-7, 6-2, 7-5, W 6-7, 6-3, 6-4
0-1
L 6-4, 6-4
Darwin Blanch 1-0
W 2-6, 7-6, 4-0
1-0
W 6-4, 6-7, 6-3
Ilya Ivashka 0-1
L 7-6, 6-7, 6-2
0-1
L 6-4, 4-6, 6-2
James Mccabe 0-1
L 6-7, 6-1, 7-6
1-0
W 7-6, 6-4
Kimmer Coppejans 0-1
L 6-3, 6-2
0-1
L 6-1, 7-5
Mark Lajal 0-1
L 7-5, 6-3
1-0
W 4-6, 7-6, 7-6
Masamichi Imamura 1-0
W 6-3, 6-2
1-0
W 6-4, 3-6, 6-4
Philip Sekulic 1-0
W 6-2, 6-4
0-1
L 3-6, 7-6, 6-4
Rigele Te 1-0
W 6-0, 7-6
1-0
W 6-7, 6-4, 7-5
Rinky Hijikata 0-2
L 6-3, 6-2, L 6-0, 6-7, 6-4
0-1
L 3-6, 6-4, 6-3
Yuta Shimizu 0-1
L 7-5, 7-5
2-0
W 5-7, 6-2, 7-6, W 4-6, 7-6, 7-5

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-12: ATP Jinan (China), model gave Dane Sweeny 53% at -118

Dane Sweeny vs Bernard Tomic: quick answers

Who won Dane Sweeny vs Bernard Tomic?

Dane Sweeny beat Bernard Tomic 2-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Dane Sweeny and Bernard Tomic?

Dane Sweeny leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on November 14, 2025, won by Dane Sweeny 5-7, 6-3, 6-2 at Australia Brisbane.

Who is in better form, Dane Sweeny or Bernard Tomic?

Dane Sweeny is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Bernard Tomic is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Dane Sweeny and Bernard Tomic?

Dane Sweeny is rated 6731 (ATP #171) and Bernard Tomic is rated 6655 (ATP #272). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Dane Sweeny vs Bernard Tomic?

Dane Sweeny is priced at -118 and Bernard Tomic at -115, which implies a 54% and 53% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.