Benjamin Sparks vs Shion Itsusaki
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Shion Itsusaki, giving them a 50% chance to win against Benjamin Sparks (50%). Sparks is 7-3 in their last 10, Itsusaki 7-3. At +165, the odds imply 38% for Shion Itsusaki, below the model's 50%.
Prediction
The model makes Shion Itsusaki a 50% favorite. At +165 the sportsbook implies 38% for Shion Itsusaki, 12 points below the model's 50%.
Model minus book: -21 pts
Model minus book: +12 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Shion Itsusaki at +165 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Benjamin Sparks | Shion Itsusaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6122 | 6055 |
| Tour rank | ATP #2058 | ATP #2518 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Win |
| Season record | 22-11 | 23-21 |
| UTR | 12.64 | 12.65 |
Head to head
Benjamin Sparks and Shion Itsusaki haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Benjamin Sparks, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Aryan Saleh | L | 6-0, 2-6, 7-5 |
| 27.10.2026 | Graeme Angus | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Rafael Padilha | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 10.10.2026 | Luca Preda | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 09.10.2026 | Erwann Bouchet | W | 6-2, 6-7, 7-5 |
| 27.09.2026 | Callum Markowitz | W | 2-6, 6-2, 7-6 |
| 26.09.2026 | Emilio Junior Sanchez Bronzetti | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 25.09.2026 | Michael Kouame | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 20.09.2026 | Stephane Pierre Jo Kamendje | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 19.09.2026 | Vlado Jankanj | L | 6-2, 6-0 |
Shion Itsusaki, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Graeme Angus | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 27.10.2026 | Aryan Saleh | L | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Jack Loutit | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Ariel Zauber | W | 6-4, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 02.10.2026 | Will Roberts | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 02.10.2026 | Alexander Haage | W | 6-7, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 20.09.2026 | Aryan Badlani | W | 6-7, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 19.09.2026 | Yannic Nittmann | L | 4-6, 6-4, 7-6 |
| 18.09.2026 | Russell Lokko | W | 6-7, 6-1, 6-2 |
| 13.09.2026 | Anas Bennour Dit Sahli | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Benjamin Sparks | Shion Itsusaki |
|---|---|---|
| Aryan Saleh | 0-1 L 6-0, 2-6, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-0, 6-4 |
| Graeme Angus | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-3 |
| Vlado Jankanj | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-0 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-11-01: ATP USA UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (USA), model gave Benjamin Sparks 50% at -244
- 2026-10-31: ATP USA UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (USA), model gave Benjamin Sparks 50% at -244
- 2026-10-30: ATP USA UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (USA), model gave Benjamin Sparks 50% at -244
- 2026-10-29: ATP USA UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (USA), model gave Benjamin Sparks 50% at -303
Benjamin Sparks vs Shion Itsusaki: quick answers
Who will win Benjamin Sparks vs Shion Itsusaki?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Shion Itsusaki, giving them a 50% chance to win against Benjamin Sparks (50%).
Have Benjamin Sparks and Shion Itsusaki played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Benjamin Sparks or Shion Itsusaki?
Benjamin Sparks is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Shion Itsusaki is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Win).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Benjamin Sparks and Shion Itsusaki?
Benjamin Sparks is rated 6122 (ATP #2058) and Shion Itsusaki is rated 6055 (ATP #2518). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Benjamin Sparks vs Shion Itsusaki?
Benjamin Sparks is priced at -244 and Shion Itsusaki at +165, which implies a 71% and 38% chance to win. The model rates Shion Itsusaki 12 points higher than the odds do (50% vs 38%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.