Benjamin Bonzi vs Cameron Norrie

ATP Lyon (X) (France), Indoors. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 08:50.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Cameron Norrie, giving them a 59% chance to win against Benjamin Bonzi (41%). They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Bonzi is 6-4 in their last 10, Norrie 3-7.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Cameron Norrie a 59% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
41%
Book
42%

Model minus book: -2 pts

Model
59%
Book
61%

Model minus book: -2 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Cameron Norrie at -156 · Model track record

Player comparison

Benjamin BonziCameron Norrie
Tennis Gauge rating68306895
Tour rankATP #98ATP #46
Last 10 matches6-43-7
Last 30 days2-20-3
Current streak1 Win1 Loss
Season record36-2724-26
UTR15.5815.73
Elo (52 weeks)17331819
Best surfaceGrassClay
Worst surfaceClayGrass

Head to head

Tied 1-1.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
20.10.2026Benjamin Bonzi6-3, 3-6, 6-3France Lyon
18.01.2026Cameron Norrie6-0, 6-7, 4-6, 6-3, 6-4Australia Australian Open

Recent form

Benjamin Bonzi, last 10

DateOpponentScore
20.10.2026Cameron Norrie W6-3, 3-6, 6-3
14.10.2026Mika Brunold L6-2, 2-6, 6-4
12.10.2026Hugo Grenier W6-7, 6-1, 6-3
28.09.2026August Holmgren L6-3, 6-4
05.09.2026Karen Khachanov L6-3, 6-2, 6-4
03.09.2026Ignacio Buse W6-2, 7-6, 6-0
02.09.2026Alex Molcan W6-4, 3-6, 6-3, 6-2
28.08.2026Ignacio Buse L6-2, 4-6, 6-1
27.08.2026Botic Van De Zandschulp W7-6, 6-4
26.08.2026Rinky Hijikata W6-1, 6-1

Cameron Norrie, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Daniil Medvedev L4-6, 6-3, 7-6
27.10.2026Francisco Cerundolo W6-4, 6-1
20.10.2026Benjamin Bonzi L6-3, 3-6, 6-3
08.10.2026Dalibor Svrcina L6-3, 3-6, 6-4
01.10.2026Alexander Zverev L7-6, 6-4
30.08.2026Luca Van Assche L6-7, 6-2, 6-2, 6-3
16.08.2026Alexander Zverev L3-6, 6-3, 6-3
13.08.2026Dino Prizmic W3-6, 6-1, 6-4
09.08.2026Arthur Fils L6-2, 7-6
06.08.2026Alex De Minaur W5-7, 7-6, 6-1

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentBenjamin BonziCameron Norrie
Alex De Minaur 0-1
L 6-2, 6-4
2-1
W 5-7, 7-6, 6-1, L 7-6, 2-6, 6-2, W 6-4, 6-4
Alexander Zverev 0-1
L 6-3, 6-4, 6-2
0-3
L 7-6, 6-4, L 3-6, 6-3, 6-3, L 7-5, 4-6, 6-3, 6-1
Bernard Tomic 1-0
W 6-7, 6-2, 7-5
1-0
W 6-1, 6-0
Christopher Oconnell 0-1
L 6-4, 6-4
0-1
L 7-6, 6-4
Dalibor Svrcina 0-1
L 6-4, 6-3
0-1
L 6-3, 3-6, 6-4
Ethan Quinn 0-2
L 7-6, 7-6, L 4-6, 6-3, 6-3
1-0
W 6-3, 4-6, 6-4
Francisco Cerundolo 0-1
L 6-4, 5-7, 7-6
1-1
W 6-4, 6-1, L 16-12, 15-12, 17-8
Ignacio Buse 1-1
W 6-2, 7-6, 6-0, L 6-2, 4-6, 6-1
1-0
W 6-3, 6-3
Jannik Sinner 0-1
L 6-7, 6-1, 6-4
0-2
L 6-3, 6-3, L 6-2, 7-5
Luca Van Assche 0-1
L 7-6, 7-5
0-1
L 6-7, 6-2, 6-2, 6-3
Rafael Jodar 0-1
L 6-4, 6-4
0-2
L 6-3, 6-2, L 6-3, 6-2
Rinky Hijikata 1-0
W 6-1, 6-1
1-0
W 6-4, 6-2
Roberto Bautista Agut 0-1
L 6-4, 6-3
1-0
W 7-6, 6-1
Tallon Griekspoor 0-1
L 6-4, 6-3
1-0
W 12-19, 19-20, 18-7, 18-10, 2-1
Ugo Humbert 1-0
W 6-4, 3-6, 6-3
1-0
W 1-6, 7-6, 7-5

Benjamin Bonzi vs Cameron Norrie: quick answers

Who will win Benjamin Bonzi vs Cameron Norrie?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Cameron Norrie, giving them a 59% chance to win against Benjamin Bonzi (41%).

What is the head-to-head record between Benjamin Bonzi and Cameron Norrie?

They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Benjamin Bonzi 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 at France Lyon.

Who is in better form, Benjamin Bonzi or Cameron Norrie?

Benjamin Bonzi is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Win). Cameron Norrie is 3-7 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Benjamin Bonzi and Cameron Norrie?

Benjamin Bonzi is rated 6830 (ATP #98) and Cameron Norrie is rated 6895 (ATP #46). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Benjamin Bonzi vs Cameron Norrie?

Benjamin Bonzi is priced at +136 and Cameron Norrie at -156, which implies a 42% and 61% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.