Belinda Bencic vs Jelena Ostapenko
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Belinda Bencic, giving them a 73% chance to win against Jelena Ostapenko (27%). Belinda Bencic leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Bencic is 5-5 in their last 10, Ostapenko 6-4. At -149, the odds imply 60% for Belinda Bencic, below the model's 73%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Belinda Bencic a 73% favorite. At -149 the sportsbook implies 60% for Belinda Bencic, 13 points below the model's 73%.
Model minus book: +13 pts
Model minus book: -18 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Belinda Bencic at -149 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Belinda Bencic | Jelena Ostapenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 7118 | 7120 |
| Tour rank | WTA #18 | WTA #17 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 2-2 | 7-4 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 31-16 | 28-21 |
| UTR | 12.82 | 12.44 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1959 | 1860 |
| Best surface | Hard | Grass |
| Worst surface | Grass | Hard |
Head to head
Belinda Bencic leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Belinda Bencic | 6-3, 1-1 | China Ningbo |
Recent form
Belinda Bencic, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Katarzyna Kawa | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Jelena Ostapenko | W | 6-3, 1-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Sonay Kartal | L | 6-0, 7-5 |
| 05.10.2026 | Ann Li | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 03.10.2026 | Anastasia Zakharova | W | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 01.09.2026 | Yulia Putintseva | L | 4-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
| 16.08.2026 | Lois Boisson | L | 6-3 |
| 10.08.2026 | Alexandra Eala | W | 6-4, 6-0 |
| 08.08.2026 | Taylor Townsend | W | 6-7, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 05.08.2026 | Sloane Stephens | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
Jelena Ostapenko, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Belinda Bencic | L | 6-3, 1-1 |
| 17.10.2026 | Sonay Kartal | L | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Diana Shnaider | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Diana Shnaider | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 15.10.2026 | Leylah Fernandez | W | 6-1, 1-6, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Jessica Pegula | W | 2-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Daria Kasatkina | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 05.10.2026 | Elise Mertens | L | 6-2, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 03.10.2026 | Paula Badosa | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 24.09.2026 | Taylah Preston | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Belinda Bencic | Jelena Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Eala | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-5 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | 1-0 W 6-1, 7-6 |
2-0 W 6-4, 6-1, W 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | 1-1 W 6-4, 4-6, 7-6, L 6-4, 6-3 |
1-1 W 6-1, 6-2, L 2-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| Dayana Yastremska | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-7, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Diana Shnaider | 2-0 W 6-2, 7-6, W 6-3, 6-3 |
2-0 W 7-6, 6-1, W 7-6, 6-1 |
| Elise Mertens | 2-0 W 6-2, 6-3, W 6-3, 4-6, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-2, 3-6, 6-3 |
| Hailey Baptiste | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-7, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Jasmine Paolini | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 5-7, 6-2, 7-5 |
| Jessica Pegula | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-6 |
1-1 W 2-6, 7-6, 6-3, L 4-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| Sara Bejlek | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
| Sonay Kartal | 0-1 L 6-0, 7-5 |
0-1 L 7-6, 7-6 |
| Xin Yu Wang | 2-0 W 7-5, 6-0, W 4-6, 6-2, 10-5 |
0-1 L 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-0 |
Belinda Bencic vs Jelena Ostapenko: quick answers
Who will win Belinda Bencic vs Jelena Ostapenko?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Belinda Bencic, giving them a 73% chance to win against Jelena Ostapenko (27%).
What is the head-to-head record between Belinda Bencic and Jelena Ostapenko?
Belinda Bencic leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Belinda Bencic 6-3, 1-1 at China Ningbo.
Who is in better form, Belinda Bencic or Jelena Ostapenko?
Belinda Bencic is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Jelena Ostapenko is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Belinda Bencic and Jelena Ostapenko?
Belinda Bencic is rated 7118 (WTA #18) and Jelena Ostapenko is rated 7120 (WTA #17). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Belinda Bencic vs Jelena Ostapenko?
Belinda Bencic is priced at -149 and Jelena Ostapenko at +121, which implies a 60% and 45% chance to win. The model rates Belinda Bencic 13 points higher than the odds do (73% vs 60%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.