Ilya Ivashka vs Beibit Zhukayev

ATP Jinan (China), Hard. Saturday, October 10, 2026, 10:30.

Updated

Ilya Ivashka beat Beibit Zhukayev 6-0, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Ilya Ivashka leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Ivashka is 7-3 in their last 10, Zhukayev 4-6.

Result: Ilya Ivashka beat Beibit Zhukayev 6-0, 6-4. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Ilya Ivashka a 64% favorite. At +232 the sportsbook implies 30% for Beibit Zhukayev, 6 points below the model's 36%.

Model
64%
Book
78%

Model minus book: -14 pts

Model
36%
Book
30%

Model minus book: +6 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Beibit Zhukayev at +232 · Model track record

Player comparison

Ilya IvashkaBeibit Zhukayev
Tennis Gauge rating66376519
Tour rankATP #297ATP #489
Last 10 matches7-34-6
Last 30 days3-00-1
Current streak3 Losses2 Wins
Season record32-1619-20
UTR14.3213.7
Elo (52 weeks)15711441
Best surfaceClayGrass
Worst surfaceHardClay

Head to head

Ilya Ivashka leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
11.10.2026Ilya Ivashka6-0, 6-4China Jinan

Recent form

Ilya Ivashka, last 10

DateOpponentScore
17.10.2026Roman Safiullin L6-1, 6-7, 6-4
15.10.2026Liam Draxl L6-4, 0-6, 6-4
14.10.2026Marat Sharipov L3-4
12.10.2026Kaichi Uchida W6-2, 6-4
11.10.2026Beibit Zhukayev W6-0, 6-4
13.09.2026Marat Sharipov W6-4, 3-6, 7-6
12.09.2026Luca Castelnuovo W6-3, 6-4
11.09.2026Yi Zhou W6-3, 6-3
10.09.2026Bernard Tomic W6-4, 4-6, 6-2
08.09.2026Yu Hsiou Hsu W6-3, 6-3

Beibit Zhukayev, last 10

DateOpponentScore
26.10.2026Koki Matsuda W6-4, 7-6
25.10.2026Min Ho Ko W6-4, 6-4
17.10.2026Adam Walton L6-1, 7-5
11.10.2026Ilya Ivashka L6-0, 6-4
05.10.2026Yaroslav Demin L6-4, 6-4
12.08.2026Mert Alkaya L6-3, 6-4
11.08.2026Amir Omarkhanov W6-3, 6-4
09.08.2026Filip Cristian Jianu W7-6, 6-3
07.08.2026Sandro Kopp L6-4, 6-1
26.04.2026Yusuke Takahashi L7-6, 6-7, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentIlya IvashkaBeibit Zhukayev
Dane Sweeny 1-0
W 7-6, 6-7, 6-2
1-0
W 6-7, 6-2, 6-2
Liam Broady 0-1
L 6-1, 6-3
0-1
L 6-2, 6-1
Manas Dhamne 0-1
L 6-3
0-1
L 6-2, 3-6, 6-2

Ilya Ivashka vs Beibit Zhukayev: quick answers

Who won Ilya Ivashka vs Beibit Zhukayev?

Ilya Ivashka beat Beibit Zhukayev 6-0, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Ilya Ivashka and Beibit Zhukayev?

Ilya Ivashka leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 11, 2026, won by Ilya Ivashka 6-0, 6-4 at China Jinan.

Who is in better form, Ilya Ivashka or Beibit Zhukayev?

Ilya Ivashka is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Beibit Zhukayev is 4-6 (current streak: 2 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Ilya Ivashka and Beibit Zhukayev?

Ilya Ivashka is rated 6637 (ATP #297) and Beibit Zhukayev is rated 6519 (ATP #489). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Ilya Ivashka vs Beibit Zhukayev?

Ilya Ivashka is priced at -357 and Beibit Zhukayev at +232, which implies a 78% and 30% chance to win. The model rates Beibit Zhukayev 6 points higher than the odds do (36% vs 30%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.