Thiago Guglieri vs Bautista Leguizamon
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Thiago Guglieri, giving them a 61% chance to win against Bautista Leguizamon (39%). Thiago Guglieri leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Guglieri is 8-2 in their last 10, Leguizamon 6-4. At +356, the odds imply 22% for Bautista Leguizamon, below the model's 39%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Thiago Guglieri a 61% favorite. At +356 the sportsbook implies 22% for Bautista Leguizamon, 17 points below the model's 39%.
Model minus book: -27 pts
Model minus book: +17 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Bautista Leguizamon at +356 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Thiago Guglieri | Bautista Leguizamon | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6215 | 6097 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1520 | ATP #2213 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 4-1 | 2-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 13-6 | 6-8 |
| UTR | 12.86 | 12.14 |
Head to head
Thiago Guglieri leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Thiago Guglieri | 6-3, 6-2 | USA USA UTR Pro Tennis Series |
| 28.07.2026 | Thiago Guglieri | 6-4, 6-3 | USA USA UTR Pro Tennis Series |
Recent form
Thiago Guglieri, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Stijn Paardekooper | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 23.10.2026 | Gray Voelzke | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 22.10.2026 | Luciano Larosa | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Bautista Leguizamon | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Imran Daniel Abd Hazli | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 10.10.2026 | Dennis Andre Dutine | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Oliver Ojakaar | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 04.10.2026 | Alec Gaudin | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Gianluca Carlini | W | 6-4, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 20.09.2026 | Luis Llorens Saracho | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
Bautista Leguizamon, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Ludovico Vaccari | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 23.10.2026 | Luciano Larosa | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Imran Daniel Abd Hazli | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 21.10.2026 | Gray Voelzke | W | 7-5, 4-6, 7-5 |
| 20.10.2026 | Thiago Guglieri | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 07.10.2026 | Martin Rivadeneira | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 07.10.2026 | Thomas Nicholas Gadecki | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 07.10.2026 | Alejandro Melero Kretzer | L | 3-6, 6-0, 6-4 |
| 02.08.2026 | Andres Medus | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 01.08.2026 | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Thiago Guglieri | Bautista Leguizamon |
|---|---|---|
| Federico Aguilar Cardozo | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-1 |
| Francisco Jose Gay | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-1, 4-6, 6-4 |
| Gray Voelzke | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-0 |
1-0 W 7-5, 4-6, 7-5 |
| Imran Daniel Abd Hazli | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
| Juan Bautista Otegui | 1-0 W 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-0 |
| Luciano Larosa | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-20: ATP USA UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (USA), model gave Thiago Guglieri 61% at -714
- 2026-10-19: ATP USA UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (USA), model gave Thiago Guglieri 61% at -500
- 2026-10-18: ATP USA UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (USA), model gave Thiago Guglieri 61% at -500
Thiago Guglieri vs Bautista Leguizamon: quick answers
Who will win Thiago Guglieri vs Bautista Leguizamon?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Thiago Guglieri, giving them a 61% chance to win against Bautista Leguizamon (39%).
What is the head-to-head record between Thiago Guglieri and Bautista Leguizamon?
Thiago Guglieri leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Thiago Guglieri 6-3, 6-2 at USA USA UTR Pro Tennis Series.
Who is in better form, Thiago Guglieri or Bautista Leguizamon?
Thiago Guglieri is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Bautista Leguizamon is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Thiago Guglieri and Bautista Leguizamon?
Thiago Guglieri is rated 6215 (ATP #1520) and Bautista Leguizamon is rated 6097 (ATP #2213). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Thiago Guglieri vs Bautista Leguizamon?
Thiago Guglieri is priced at -714 and Bautista Leguizamon at +356, which implies a 88% and 22% chance to win. The model rates Bautista Leguizamon 17 points higher than the odds do (39% vs 22%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.