Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Bastian Malla
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos, giving them a 53% chance to win against Bastian Malla (47%). Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Santos is 6-4 in their last 10, Malla 6-4. At +105, the odds imply 49% for Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos, below the model's 53%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos a 53% favorite. At +105 the sportsbook implies 49% for Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos, 4 points below the model's 53%.
Model minus book: +4 pts
Model minus book: -14 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos at +105 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | Bastian Malla | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6441 | 6377 |
| Tour rank | ATP #664 | ATP #868 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Current streak | 3 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 38-29 | 36-18 |
| UTR | 13.74 | 13.53 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1158 | – |
| Best surface | Hard | – |
| Worst surface | Clay | – |
Head to head
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.01.2026 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 7-5, 1-6, 6-4 | Chile Santiago |
Recent form
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 11.10.2026 | Santiago De La Fuente | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 29.09.2026 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | L | 3-6, 6-3, 6-0 |
| 28.09.2026 | Gabriel Schenekenberg | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 27.09.2026 | Augusto Scheidt | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 20.09.2026 | Nicolas Zanellato | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 19.09.2026 | Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio | W | 6-3, 1-6, 6-3 |
| 18.09.2026 | Gabriel Schenekenberg | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 16.09.2026 | Luka Bojicic Ono | W | 6-4, 6-7, 6-1 |
| 26.08.2026 | Andres Martin | L | 5-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
Bastian Malla, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Nicolas Bruna | L | 7-5, 6-0 |
| 28.10.2026 | Valentin Garay | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 21.09.2026 | Ezequiel Monferrer | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 21.09.2026 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | L | 6-2, 1-0 |
| 01.09.2026 | Ian Vertberger | W | 6-1, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 29.08.2026 | Carlos Maria Zarate | L | 2-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 28.08.2026 | Maximo Zeitune | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 27.08.2026 | Julian Cundom | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 25.08.2026 | Jackson Ross | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 20.08.2026 | Gonzalo Villanueva | L | 4-6, 6-1, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | Bastian Malla |
|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Torrealba | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-7, 5-4 |
| Carlos Maria Zarate | 2-0 W 7-6, 3-6, 7-6, W 6-4, 6-3 |
1-2 L 2-6, 6-3, 6-3, W 7-6, 7-6, L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Felipe Meligeni Alves | 0-2 L 6-3, 7-5, L 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 3-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| Gabriel Schenekenberg | 3-0 W 7-5, 6-4, W 6-3, 6-1, W 3-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
| Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
0-1 L 4-1 |
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 2-0 W 7-6, 6-4, W 7-5, 3-6, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-2, 1-0 |
| Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-0 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
| Luka Bojicic Ono | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-7, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-1 |
| Nicolas Zanellato | 2-0 W 6-4, 7-5, W 6-3, 4-6, 6-2 |
1-1 W 6-2, 4-6, 6-3, L 6-3, 6-1 |
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Bastian Malla: quick answers
Who will win Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Bastian Malla?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos, giving them a 53% chance to win against Bastian Malla (47%).
What is the head-to-head record between Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos and Bastian Malla?
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on January 13, 2026, won by Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos 7-5, 1-6, 6-4 at Chile Santiago.
Who is in better form, Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos or Bastian Malla?
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Bastian Malla is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos and Bastian Malla?
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos is rated 6441 (ATP #664) and Bastian Malla is rated 6377 (ATP #868). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Bastian Malla?
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos is priced at +105 and Bastian Malla at -159, which implies a 49% and 61% chance to win. The model rates Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos 4 points higher than the odds do (53% vs 49%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.