Marie Vogt vs Baotong Xu
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Marie Vogt, giving them a 97% chance to win against Baotong Xu (3%). Marie Vogt leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Vogt is 6-4 in their last 10, Xu 6-4. At -1000, the odds imply 91% for Marie Vogt, below the model's 97%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Marie Vogt a 97% favorite. At -1000 the sportsbook implies 91% for Marie Vogt, 6 points below the model's 97%.
Model minus book: +6 pts
Model minus book: -16 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Marie Vogt at -1000 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Marie Vogt | Baotong Xu | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6499 | 6132 |
| Tour rank | WTA #549 | WTA #1556 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 1-2 | 7-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 54-24 | 11-8 |
| UTR | 11.22 | 9.15 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1287 | – |
| Best surface | Hard | – |
| Worst surface | Clay | – |
Head to head
Marie Vogt leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Marie Vogt | 6-3, 6-0 | Tunisia Monastir |
Recent form
Marie Vogt, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Nahjime Dho | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 28.10.2026 | Yui Watanabe | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 24.10.2026 | Kayo Nishimura | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 23.10.2026 | Sofia Camila Rojas | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 22.10.2026 | Baotong Xu | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 20.10.2026 | Polina Berezina | W | 6-3, 5-7, 6-1 |
| 11.10.2026 | Daria Yesypchuk | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 07.10.2026 | Lidia Encheva | L | 6-7, 6-0, 7-6 |
| 22.09.2026 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea | L | 6-1, 2-6, 7-6 |
| 21.09.2026 | Ekaterina Yashina | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
Baotong Xu, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Sofia Camila Rojas | L | 6-1, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 28.10.2026 | Emna Gharbi | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 22.10.2026 | Marie Vogt | L | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 21.10.2026 | Teodora Miron | W | 6-7, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Nahjime Dho | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Margaux Komano | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Sunayana Nayak | W | 6-0, 4-0 |
| 12.10.2026 | Leticia Romanova | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Patricia Bordas | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 08.10.2026 | Jialin Tian | L | 6-1, 6-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Marie Vogt | Baotong Xu |
|---|---|---|
| Nahjime Dho | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-4 |
| Sofia Camila Rojas | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-1, 2-6, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: WTA Monastir (X) (Tunisia), model gave Marie Vogt 97% at -1000
- 2026-10-26: WTA Monastir (X) (Tunisia), model gave Marie Vogt 97% at -1000
- 2026-10-25: WTA Monastir (X) (Tunisia), model gave Marie Vogt 97% at -1000
- 2026-10-24: WTA Monastir (X) (Tunisia), model gave Marie Vogt 97% at -1000
- 2026-10-23: WTA Monastir (X) (Tunisia), model gave Marie Vogt 97% at -1000
- 2026-10-22: WTA Monastir (X) (Tunisia), model gave Marie Vogt 97% at -1000
- 2026-10-21: WTA Monastir (X) (Tunisia), model gave Marie Vogt 97% at -1000
Marie Vogt vs Baotong Xu: quick answers
Who will win Marie Vogt vs Baotong Xu?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Marie Vogt, giving them a 97% chance to win against Baotong Xu (3%).
What is the head-to-head record between Marie Vogt and Baotong Xu?
Marie Vogt leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Marie Vogt 6-3, 6-0 at Tunisia Monastir.
Who is in better form, Marie Vogt or Baotong Xu?
Marie Vogt is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Baotong Xu is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Marie Vogt and Baotong Xu?
Marie Vogt is rated 6499 (WTA #549) and Baotong Xu is rated 6132 (WTA #1556). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Marie Vogt vs Baotong Xu?
Marie Vogt is priced at -1000 and Baotong Xu at +430, which implies a 91% and 19% chance to win. The model rates Marie Vogt 6 points higher than the odds do (97% vs 91%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.