Lars Wagenaar vs Baltazar Wiger Nordas

ATP UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), Hard. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 06:10.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Lars Wagenaar, giving them a 53% chance to win against Baltazar Wiger Nordas (47%). Lars Wagenaar leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Wagenaar is 4-6 in their last 10, Nordas 4-6.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Lars Wagenaar a 53% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
53%
Book
60%

Model minus book: -7 pts

Model
47%
Book
50%

Model minus book: -3 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Lars Wagenaar at -149 · Model track record

Player comparison

Lars WagenaarBaltazar Wiger Nordas
Tennis Gauge rating61466161
Tour rankATP #1914ATP #1814
Last 10 matches4-64-6
Last 30 days1-10-2
Current streak3 Losses3 Wins
Season record18-2724-21
UTR12.5612.4

Head to head

Lars Wagenaar leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
19.10.2026Lars Wagenaar7-6, 7-5EUR UTR Pro Tennis Series

Recent form

Lars Wagenaar, last 10

DateOpponentScore
24.10.2026Taymur Muhammad L7-5, 6-2
23.10.2026Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez L6-2, 6-3
22.10.2026Tomas Curras Abasolo L4-6, 6-1, 6-2
19.10.2026Baltazar Wiger Nordas W7-6, 7-5
22.09.2026Tom Zeuch L6-7, 7-6, 7-5
21.09.2026Gray Voelzke W6-4, 6-3
20.09.2026Batiste Guerra W6-4, 6-2
02.09.2026Dax Donders L6-2, 6-3
16.08.2026Noah Thurner L6-2, 6-1
15.08.2026Idriss Haddouch W6-4, 6-0

Baltazar Wiger Nordas, last 10

DateOpponentScore
25.10.2026Rodrigo Leal W6-0, 6-1
24.10.2026Oriol Font W6-1, 6-1
23.10.2026Daniel Batista W6-1, 6-1
22.10.2026Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez L6-4, 1-6, 7-5
20.10.2026Tomas Curras Abasolo L6-1, 6-3
19.10.2026Lars Wagenaar L7-6, 7-5
30.08.2026Finn Murgett L6-3, 7-5
29.08.2026William Mclennaghan W6-2, 6-0
28.08.2026Nicola Cigna L2-6, 6-1, 6-3
27.08.2026Sean Hodkin L6-3, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentLars WagenaarBaltazar Wiger Nordas
Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez 0-1
L 6-2, 6-3
0-1
L 6-4, 1-6, 7-5
Alexandre Verlaguet 1-0
W 3-6, 6-2, 6-3
1-0
W 6-2, 6-3
Tomas Curras Abasolo 0-1
L 4-6, 6-1, 6-2
0-1
L 6-1, 6-3

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-19: ATP UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Baltazar Wiger Nordas 47% at -152
  • 2026-10-18: ATP UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Baltazar Wiger Nordas 47% at -152

Lars Wagenaar vs Baltazar Wiger Nordas: quick answers

Who will win Lars Wagenaar vs Baltazar Wiger Nordas?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Lars Wagenaar, giving them a 53% chance to win against Baltazar Wiger Nordas (47%).

What is the head-to-head record between Lars Wagenaar and Baltazar Wiger Nordas?

Lars Wagenaar leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Lars Wagenaar 7-6, 7-5 at EUR UTR Pro Tennis Series.

Who is in better form, Lars Wagenaar or Baltazar Wiger Nordas?

Lars Wagenaar is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Baltazar Wiger Nordas is 4-6 (current streak: 3 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Lars Wagenaar and Baltazar Wiger Nordas?

Lars Wagenaar is rated 6146 (ATP #1914) and Baltazar Wiger Nordas is rated 6161 (ATP #1814). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Lars Wagenaar vs Baltazar Wiger Nordas?

Lars Wagenaar is priced at -149 and Baltazar Wiger Nordas at +100, which implies a 60% and 50% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.