Aziz Ouakaa vs Nicolas Jadoun

ATP Monastir (XI) (Tunisia), Hard. Monday, November 2, 2026, 01:30.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Nicolas Jadoun, giving them a 54% chance to win against Aziz Ouakaa (46%). Ouakaa is 6-4 in their last 10, Jadoun 5-5. At +121, the odds imply 45% for Nicolas Jadoun, below the model's 54%.

Prediction

The model makes Nicolas Jadoun a 54% favorite. At +121 the sportsbook implies 45% for Nicolas Jadoun, 9 points below the model's 54%.

Model
46%
Book
65%

Model minus book: -20 pts

Model
54%
Book
45%

Model minus book: +9 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Nicolas Jadoun at +121 · Model track record

Player comparison

Aziz OuakaaNicolas Jadoun
Tennis Gauge rating63896355
Tour rankATP #824ATP #932
Last 10 matches6-45-5
Last 30 days5-34-2
Current streak2 Wins2 Wins
Season record49-3633-29
UTR13.613.57
Elo (52 weeks)1050–
Best surfaceGrass–
Worst surfaceHard–

Head to head

Aziz Ouakaa and Nicolas Jadoun haven't played each other in our records.

Recent form

Aziz Ouakaa, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Nicolas Garcia Longo W6-2, 6-4
28.10.2026Lars Goran Verwerft W6-3, 6-4
20.10.2026Pawit Sornlaksup L6-3, 7-6
14.10.2026Adhithya Ganesan L6-4, 6-4
10.10.2026Eliakim Coulibaly L6-3, 2-0
09.10.2026Kaan Isak Kosaner W6-4, 6-2
08.10.2026Yassine Smiej W6-1, 6-2
07.10.2026Liam Branger W6-1, 6-4
02.10.2026Emilien Demanet L3-6, 6-2, 6-4
01.10.2026Remy Dugardin W6-2, 6-1

Nicolas Jadoun, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Christian Djonov W7-5, 7-5
28.10.2026Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf W6-3, 6-4
22.10.2026Isaac Nortey L6-3, 1-6, 6-3
21.10.2026Martim Bernardo W6-1, 6-1
15.10.2026Isaac Nortey L6-1, 2-6, 6-4
13.10.2026Parth Aggarwal W6-3, 6-1
01.10.2026James Connel L6-3, 7-5
30.09.2026S Mert Ozdemir W6-0, 6-2
23.09.2026Koray Kirci L6-1, 6-0
08.09.2026Roan Jones L6-3, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentAziz OuakaaNicolas Jadoun
Andrea Colombo 1-0
W 7-5, 5-7, 6-3
1-0
W 6-3, 6-4
Fausto Tabacco 1-0
W 6-2, 3-6, 6-3
0-1
L 5-7, 6-4, 10-2
Jelle Sels 0-1
L 6-0, 6-3
0-1
L 6-4, 6-7, 6-1
Josh Manuel 0-1
L 7-6, 6-4
1-0
W 6-3, 6-2
Liam Branger 1-0
W 6-1, 6-4
1-0
W 6-4, 3-6, 6-2

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-11-01: ATP Monastir (XI) (Tunisia), model gave Aziz Ouakaa 46% at -189
  • 2026-10-31: ATP Monastir (XI) (Tunisia), model gave Aziz Ouakaa 46% at -189
  • 2026-10-30: ATP Monastir (XI) (Tunisia), model gave Aziz Ouakaa 46% at -189

Aziz Ouakaa vs Nicolas Jadoun: quick answers

Who will win Aziz Ouakaa vs Nicolas Jadoun?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Nicolas Jadoun, giving them a 54% chance to win against Aziz Ouakaa (46%).

Have Aziz Ouakaa and Nicolas Jadoun played before?

Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.

Who is in better form, Aziz Ouakaa or Nicolas Jadoun?

Aziz Ouakaa is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Nicolas Jadoun is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Aziz Ouakaa and Nicolas Jadoun?

Aziz Ouakaa is rated 6389 (ATP #824) and Nicolas Jadoun is rated 6355 (ATP #932). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Aziz Ouakaa vs Nicolas Jadoun?

Aziz Ouakaa is priced at -189 and Nicolas Jadoun at +121, which implies a 65% and 45% chance to win. The model rates Nicolas Jadoun 9 points higher than the odds do (54% vs 45%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.