Aziz Dougaz vs Tom Gentzsch
Updated
Aziz Dougaz beat Tom Gentzsch 6-4, 2-6, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Tom Gentzsch at 76%. Aziz Dougaz leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Dougaz is 6-4 in their last 10, Gentzsch 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Tom Gentzsch a 76% favorite. At -159 the sportsbook implies 61% for Tom Gentzsch, 15 points below the model's 76%.
Model minus book: -22 pts
Model minus book: +15 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Tom Gentzsch at -159 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Aziz Dougaz | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6598 | 6708 |
| Tour rank | ATP #354 | ATP #205 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 2-3 | 3-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 34-18 | 52-31 |
| UTR | 14.38 | 14.68 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1468 | 1578 |
| Best surface | Hard | Clay |
| Worst surface | Grass | Hard |
Head to head
Aziz Dougaz leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Aziz Dougaz | 6-4, 2-6, 7-6 | Belgium Brussels |
Recent form
Aziz Dougaz, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Nishesh Basavareddy | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 17.10.2026 | Tom Gentzsch | W | 6-4, 2-6, 7-6 |
| 13.10.2026 | Damir Dzumhur | L | 6-3, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Federico Cina | L | 6-3, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 05.10.2026 | Lorenzo Sonego | W | 7-6, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 23.09.2026 | Reiya Komagata | L | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 18.09.2026 | Muhammad Shoaib | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 06.09.2026 | Cesar Bouchelaghem | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 05.09.2026 | Jorge Plans | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 04.09.2026 | Nicolas Jadoun | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
Tom Gentzsch, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Aziz Dougaz | L | 6-4, 2-6, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Damir Dzumhur | L | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Damir Dzumhur | L | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Georgii Kravchenko | W | 6-3, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Niels Visker | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Carlo Alberto Caniato | L | 6-3, 5-7, 7-5 |
| 22.09.2026 | Enrico Dalla Valle | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 18.09.2026 | Luka Mikrut | L | 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 16.09.2026 | Martin Krumich | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 14.09.2026 | Alan Wazny | W | 7-5, 6-7, 6-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Aziz Dougaz | Tom Gentzsch |
|---|---|---|
| Damir Dzumhur | 0-1 L 6-3, 2-6, 6-3 |
0-2 L 6-0, 6-3, L 6-0, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-16: ATP Brussels (X) (Belgium), model gave Aziz Dougaz 24% at +120
Aziz Dougaz vs Tom Gentzsch: quick answers
Who won Aziz Dougaz vs Tom Gentzsch?
Aziz Dougaz beat Tom Gentzsch 6-4, 2-6, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Tom Gentzsch at 76%.
What is the head-to-head record between Aziz Dougaz and Tom Gentzsch?
Aziz Dougaz leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 17, 2026, won by Aziz Dougaz 6-4, 2-6, 7-6 at Belgium Brussels.
Who is in better form, Aziz Dougaz or Tom Gentzsch?
Aziz Dougaz is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Tom Gentzsch is 5-5 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Aziz Dougaz and Tom Gentzsch?
Aziz Dougaz is rated 6598 (ATP #354) and Tom Gentzsch is rated 6708 (ATP #205). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Aziz Dougaz vs Tom Gentzsch?
Aziz Dougaz is priced at +120 and Tom Gentzsch at -159, which implies a 45% and 61% chance to win. The model rates Tom Gentzsch 15 points higher than the odds do (76% vs 61%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.