Aziz Dougaz vs Damir Dzumhur

ATP Olbia (X) (Italy), Hard. Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 05:00.

Updated

Damir Dzumhur beat Aziz Dougaz 6-3, 2-6, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Damir Dzumhur leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Dougaz is 6-4 in their last 10, Dzumhur 8-2.

Result: Damir Dzumhur beat Aziz Dougaz 6-3, 2-6, 6-3. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Damir Dzumhur a 82% favorite. At -139 the sportsbook implies 58% for Damir Dzumhur, 24 points below the model's 82%.

Model
18%
Book
48%

Model minus book: -30 pts

Model
82%
Book
58%

Model minus book: +24 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Damir Dzumhur at -139 · Model track record

Player comparison

Aziz DougazDamir Dzumhur
Tennis Gauge rating65986808
Tour rankATP #354ATP #114
Last 10 matches6-48-2
Last 30 days2-22-2
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record34-1830-31
UTR14.3814.85
Elo (52 weeks)14681627
Best surfaceHardClay
Worst surfaceGrassHard

Head to head

Damir Dzumhur leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
13.10.2026Damir Dzumhur6-3, 2-6, 6-3Italy Olbia

Recent form

Aziz Dougaz, last 10

DateOpponentScore
18.10.2026Nishesh Basavareddy L6-4, 7-5
17.10.2026Tom Gentzsch W6-4, 2-6, 7-6
13.10.2026Damir Dzumhur L6-3, 2-6, 6-3
06.10.2026Federico Cina L6-3, 4-6, 6-4
05.10.2026Lorenzo Sonego W7-6, 5-7, 6-4
23.09.2026Reiya Komagata L6-1, 7-6
18.09.2026Muhammad Shoaib W6-2, 6-3
06.09.2026Cesar Bouchelaghem W6-3, 6-2
05.09.2026Jorge Plans W6-2, 6-2
04.09.2026Nicolas Jadoun W7-6, 6-3

Damir Dzumhur, last 10

DateOpponentScore
22.10.2026Zizou Bergs L6-2, 6-4
21.10.2026Dino Prizmic W7-6, 2-6, 6-2
18.10.2026Jacob Fearnley W7-6, 6-3
17.10.2026Maks Kasnikowski W6-1, 7-5
16.10.2026Tom Gentzsch W6-0, 6-3
16.10.2026Tom Gentzsch W6-0, 6-3
15.10.2026Dimitar Kuzmanov W0-6, 7-6, 6-0
13.10.2026Aziz Dougaz W6-3, 2-6, 6-3
08.10.2026Abedallah Shelbayh L7-5, 3-6, 6-3
07.10.2026Georgii Kravchenko W7-5, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentAziz DougazDamir Dzumhur
Tom Gentzsch 1-0
W 6-4, 2-6, 7-6
2-0
W 6-0, 6-3, W 6-0, 6-3

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-12: ATP Olbia (X) (Italy), model gave Aziz Dougaz 18% at +110

Aziz Dougaz vs Damir Dzumhur: quick answers

Who won Aziz Dougaz vs Damir Dzumhur?

Damir Dzumhur beat Aziz Dougaz 6-3, 2-6, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Aziz Dougaz and Damir Dzumhur?

Damir Dzumhur leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Damir Dzumhur 6-3, 2-6, 6-3 at Italy Olbia.

Who is in better form, Aziz Dougaz or Damir Dzumhur?

Aziz Dougaz is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Damir Dzumhur is 8-2 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Aziz Dougaz and Damir Dzumhur?

Aziz Dougaz is rated 6598 (ATP #354) and Damir Dzumhur is rated 6808 (ATP #114). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Aziz Dougaz vs Damir Dzumhur?

Aziz Dougaz is priced at +110 and Damir Dzumhur at -139, which implies a 48% and 58% chance to win. The model rates Damir Dzumhur 24 points higher than the odds do (82% vs 58%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.