Ayla Aksu vs Lucrezia Stefanini
Updated
Ayla Aksu beat Lucrezia Stefanini 7-5, 2-6, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Lucrezia Stefanini at 65%. They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Aksu is 7-3 in their last 10, Stefanini 7-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Lucrezia Stefanini a 65% favorite. At +270 the sportsbook implies 27% for Ayla Aksu, 8 points below the model's 35%.
Model minus book: +8 pts
Model minus book: -17 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Ayla Aksu at +270 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Ayla Aksu | Lucrezia Stefanini | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6759 | 6892 |
| Tour rank | WTA #233 | WTA #123 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 5-3 | 6-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Win | 1 Win |
| Season record | 46-26 | 38-27 |
| UTR | 11.47 | 12.14 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1508 | 1688 |
| Best surface | Hard | Hard |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.2026 | Ayla Aksu | 7-5, 2-6, 6-2 | Turkey Samsun |
| 24.08.2026 | Lucrezia Stefanini | 6-2, 6-3 | USA US Open |
Recent form
Ayla Aksu, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Lisa Zaar | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 21.10.2026 | Dalayna Hewitt | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | Lucrezia Stefanini | W | 7-5, 2-6, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Himeno Sakatsume | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 09.10.2026 | Fiona Crawley | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Alicia Dudeney | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Emiliana Arango | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 29.09.2026 | Elena Pridankina | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 23.09.2026 | Han Shi | L | 6-1, 5-7, 6-2 |
| 21.09.2026 | Yuki Naito | W | 6-1, 7-6 |
Lucrezia Stefanini, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Isabella Maria Serban | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Bianca Andreescu | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 14.10.2026 | Harmony Tan | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Laura Mair | W | 3-6, 6-2, 7-5 |
| 11.10.2026 | Ayla Aksu | L | 7-5, 2-6, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Anna Blinkova | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 09.10.2026 | Polina Iatcenko | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 07.10.2026 | Noma Noha Akugue | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Carole Monnet | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Leolia Jeanjean | L | 6-4, 1-6, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Ayla Aksu | Lucrezia Stefanini |
|---|---|---|
| Alina Charaeva | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-7, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-5 |
| Angelina Voloshchuk | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-7, 7-6, 7-6 |
| Darja Vidmanova | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-1 |
| Polona Hercog | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-5 |
0-1 L 7-6, 7-5 |
| Vendula Valdmannova | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
| Yuki Naito | 1-0 W 6-1, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-7, 6-4, 6-4 |
Ayla Aksu vs Lucrezia Stefanini: quick answers
Who won Ayla Aksu vs Lucrezia Stefanini?
Ayla Aksu beat Lucrezia Stefanini 7-5, 2-6, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Lucrezia Stefanini at 65%.
What is the head-to-head record between Ayla Aksu and Lucrezia Stefanini?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 11, 2026, won by Ayla Aksu 7-5, 2-6, 6-2 at Turkey Samsun.
Who is in better form, Ayla Aksu or Lucrezia Stefanini?
Ayla Aksu is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Win). Lucrezia Stefanini is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Win).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Ayla Aksu and Lucrezia Stefanini?
Ayla Aksu is rated 6759 (WTA #233) and Lucrezia Stefanini is rated 6892 (WTA #123). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Ayla Aksu vs Lucrezia Stefanini?
Ayla Aksu is priced at +270 and Lucrezia Stefanini at -455, which implies a 27% and 82% chance to win. The model rates Ayla Aksu 8 points higher than the odds do (35% vs 27%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.