Sloane Stephens vs Astra Sharma
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Sloane Stephens, giving them a 91% chance to win against Astra Sharma (9%). Sloane Stephens leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Stephens is 8-2 in their last 10, Sharma 8-2. At -244, the odds imply 71% for Sloane Stephens, below the model's 91%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Sloane Stephens a 91% favorite. At -244 the sportsbook implies 71% for Sloane Stephens, 20 points below the model's 91%.
Model minus book: +20 pts
Model minus book: -26 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Sloane Stephens at -244 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Sloane Stephens | Astra Sharma | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6916 | 6606 |
| Tour rank | WTA #111 | WTA #389 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 7-1 | 16-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 26-20 | 21-8 |
| UTR | 12.17 | 11.26 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1715 | – |
| Best surface | Clay | – |
| Worst surface | Hard | – |
Head to head
Sloane Stephens leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Sloane Stephens | 7-5, 6-2 | USA New Braunfels |
Recent form
Sloane Stephens, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Astra Sharma | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 28.10.2026 | Rose Marie Nijkamp | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Thea Frodin | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Ashley Lahey | W | 6-3, 5-7, 6-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Kristina Liutova | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 17.10.2026 | Dana Guzman | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 17.10.2026 | Julieta Pareja | W | 2-6, 6-1, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Madison Brengle | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Whitney Osuigwe | W | 2-6, 6-2, 6-1 |
| 18.09.2026 | Peyton Stearns | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
Astra Sharma, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Sloane Stephens | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 28.10.2026 | Kristina Penickova | W | 2-6, 7-5, 6-1 |
| 27.10.2026 | Olivia Lincer | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 23.10.2026 | Connie Ma | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Lea Ma | W | 6-1, 6-7, 6-1 |
| 21.10.2026 | Imogen Haddad | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Delaney Letzel | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 19.10.2026 | Azuna Ichioka | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 11.10.2026 | Kaitlyn Carnicella | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 11.10.2026 | Madison Brengle | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Sloane Stephens | Astra Sharma |
|---|---|---|
| Madison Brengle | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
| Rose Marie Nijkamp | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: WTA New Braunfels (USA), model gave Sloane Stephens 91% at -244
Sloane Stephens vs Astra Sharma: quick answers
Who will win Sloane Stephens vs Astra Sharma?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Sloane Stephens, giving them a 91% chance to win against Astra Sharma (9%).
What is the head-to-head record between Sloane Stephens and Astra Sharma?
Sloane Stephens leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Sloane Stephens 7-5, 6-2 at USA New Braunfels.
Who is in better form, Sloane Stephens or Astra Sharma?
Sloane Stephens is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Astra Sharma is 8-2 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Sloane Stephens and Astra Sharma?
Sloane Stephens is rated 6916 (WTA #111) and Astra Sharma is rated 6606 (WTA #389). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Sloane Stephens vs Astra Sharma?
Sloane Stephens is priced at -244 and Astra Sharma at +186, which implies a 71% and 35% chance to win. The model rates Sloane Stephens 20 points higher than the odds do (91% vs 71%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.