Madison Brengle vs Astra Sharma

WTA Lexington (X) (USA), Hard. Saturday, October 10, 2026, 04:30.

Updated

Astra Sharma beat Madison Brengle 6-3, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Madison Brengle at 70%. Astra Sharma leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Brengle is 6-4 in their last 10, Sharma 8-2.

Result: Astra Sharma beat Madison Brengle 6-3, 6-2. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Madison Brengle.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Madison Brengle a 70% favorite. At -133 the sportsbook implies 57% for Madison Brengle, 13 points below the model's 70%.

Model
70%
Book
57%

Model minus book: +13 pts

Model
30%
Book
49%

Model minus book: -19 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Madison Brengle at -133 · Model track record

Player comparison

Madison BrengleAstra Sharma
Tennis Gauge rating66896606
Tour rankWTA #293WTA #389
Last 10 matches6-48-2
Last 30 days8-212-2
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record51-3121-8
UTR11.5711.26
Elo (52 weeks)1548–
Best surfaceClay–
Worst surfaceHard–

Head to head

Astra Sharma leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
11.10.2026Astra Sharma6-3, 6-2USA Lexington

Recent form

Madison Brengle, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Yuki Naito L6-1, 6-2
27.10.2026Lea Nilsson W6-3, 7-6
24.10.2026Ella Mcdonald L7-5, 6-1
23.10.2026Elizabeth Mandlik W7-5, 2-6, 6-2
22.10.2026Thea Frodin W7-6, 6-3
19.10.2026Raquel Caballero Chica W6-0, 7-5
16.10.2026Sloane Stephens L6-2, 6-3
13.10.2026Hanna Chang W6-4, 6-1
11.10.2026Astra Sharma L6-3, 6-2
09.10.2026Lea Ma W7-6, 6-2

Astra Sharma, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Sloane Stephens L7-5, 6-2
28.10.2026Kristina Penickova W2-6, 7-5, 6-1
27.10.2026Olivia Lincer W6-2, 6-4
23.10.2026Connie Ma L6-2, 6-3
23.10.2026Lea Ma W6-1, 6-7, 6-1
21.10.2026Imogen Haddad W6-4, 6-4
20.10.2026Delaney Letzel W6-3, 6-2
19.10.2026Azuna Ichioka W6-3, 6-1
11.10.2026Kaitlyn Carnicella W6-2, 6-1
11.10.2026Madison Brengle W6-3, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentMadison BrengleAstra Sharma
Ana Sofia Sanchez 1-0
W 7-5, 6-3
1-0
W 6-4, 6-2
Lea Ma 1-1
W 7-6, 6-2, L 6-3, 7-6
1-0
W 6-1, 6-7, 6-1
Sloane Stephens 0-1
L 6-2, 6-3
0-1
L 7-5, 6-2

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-09: WTA Lexington (X) (USA), model gave Madison Brengle 70% at +6

Madison Brengle vs Astra Sharma: quick answers

Who won Madison Brengle vs Astra Sharma?

Astra Sharma beat Madison Brengle 6-3, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Madison Brengle at 70%.

What is the head-to-head record between Madison Brengle and Astra Sharma?

Astra Sharma leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 11, 2026, won by Astra Sharma 6-3, 6-2 at USA Lexington.

Who is in better form, Madison Brengle or Astra Sharma?

Madison Brengle is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Astra Sharma is 8-2 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Madison Brengle and Astra Sharma?

Madison Brengle is rated 6689 (WTA #293) and Astra Sharma is rated 6606 (WTA #389). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Madison Brengle vs Astra Sharma?

Madison Brengle is priced at -133 and Astra Sharma at +103, which implies a 57% and 49% chance to win. The model rates Madison Brengle 13 points higher than the odds do (70% vs 57%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.