Asahi Harazaki vs Pablo Roche Alcaya

ATP USA UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (USA), Hard. Wednesday, October 14, 2026, 03:30.

Updated

Asahi Harazaki beat Pablo Roche Alcaya 6-2, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Asahi Harazaki leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Harazaki is 8-2 in their last 10, Alcaya 6-4.

Result: Asahi Harazaki beat Pablo Roche Alcaya 6-2, 6-4. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Asahi Harazaki a 82% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
82%
Book
89%

Model minus book: -8 pts

Model
18%
Book
21%

Model minus book: -2 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Asahi Harazaki at -833 · Model track record

Player comparison

Asahi HarazakiPablo Roche Alcaya
Tennis Gauge rating63496189
Tour rankATP #966ATP #1663
Last 10 matches8-26-4
Last 30 days1-11-0
Current streak1 Loss3 Wins
Season record45-1814-9
UTR13.1412.5

Head to head

Asahi Harazaki leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
14.10.2026Asahi Harazaki6-2, 6-4USA USA UTR Pro Tennis Series

Recent form

Asahi Harazaki, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Bor Artnak L7-6, 7-6
28.10.2026Sander Jong W4-3
16.10.2026Dragos Nicolae Cazacu W6-1, 6-2
16.10.2026Dragos Nicolae Cazacu W6-1, 6-2
15.10.2026Tomas Jirousek W6-2, 6-1
14.10.2026Pablo Roche Alcaya W6-2, 6-4
14.10.2026Tito Chavez W6-3, 6-3
13.10.2026Timothee Andriveau W6-1, 6-4
11.10.2026Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi L6-4, 6-4
10.10.2026Ben Weintraub W6-4, 6-0

Pablo Roche Alcaya, last 10

DateOpponentScore
16.10.2026Alejandro Melero Kretzer W6-3, 6-1
16.10.2026Alejandro Melero Kretzer W6-3, 6-1
15.10.2026Stijn Paardekooper W6-3, 7-6
14.10.2026Asahi Harazaki L6-2, 6-4
14.10.2026Timothee Andriveau W6-2, 3-6, 6-3
13.10.2026Tito Chavez W6-4, 7-6
07.10.2026Daniel Uta L6-4, 4-6, 7-6
20.09.2026Nico Jamison W7-5, 6-4
19.09.2026Salvador Price L6-2, 6-3
03.08.2026Yago Castellanos L7-5, 1-6, 6-1

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentAsahi HarazakiPablo Roche Alcaya
Timothee Andriveau 1-0
W 6-1, 6-4
1-0
W 6-2, 3-6, 6-3
Tito Chavez 1-0
W 6-3, 6-3
1-0
W 6-4, 7-6

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-13: ATP USA UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (USA), model gave Asahi Harazaki 82% at -833

Asahi Harazaki vs Pablo Roche Alcaya: quick answers

Who won Asahi Harazaki vs Pablo Roche Alcaya?

Asahi Harazaki beat Pablo Roche Alcaya 6-2, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Asahi Harazaki and Pablo Roche Alcaya?

Asahi Harazaki leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Asahi Harazaki 6-2, 6-4 at USA USA UTR Pro Tennis Series.

Who is in better form, Asahi Harazaki or Pablo Roche Alcaya?

Asahi Harazaki is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Pablo Roche Alcaya is 6-4 (current streak: 3 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Asahi Harazaki and Pablo Roche Alcaya?

Asahi Harazaki is rated 6349 (ATP #966) and Pablo Roche Alcaya is rated 6189 (ATP #1663). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Asahi Harazaki vs Pablo Roche Alcaya?

Asahi Harazaki is priced at -833 and Pablo Roche Alcaya at +379, which implies a 89% and 21% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.