Sota Kambara vs Aruth Chinsupakul

ATP UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), Hard. Saturday, October 17, 2026, 09:40.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Sota Kambara, giving them a 61% chance to win against Aruth Chinsupakul (39%). Kambara is 2-8 in their last 10, Chinsupakul 0-7. At +419, the odds imply 19% for Aruth Chinsupakul, below the model's 39%.

This preview is from Saturday, October 17, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Sota Kambara a 61% favorite. At +419 the sportsbook implies 19% for Aruth Chinsupakul, 20 points below the model's 39%.

Model
61%
Book
90%

Model minus book: -29 pts

Model
39%
Book
19%

Model minus book: +20 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Aruth Chinsupakul at +419 · Model track record

Player comparison

Sota KambaraAruth Chinsupakul
Tennis Gauge rating57905543
Tour rankATP #4239ATP #5214
Last 10 matches2-80-7
Last 30 days3-80-5
Current streak5 Losses7 Losses
Season record5-110-7
UTR11.4510.73

Head to head

Sota Kambara and Aruth Chinsupakul haven't played each other in our records.

Recent form

Sota Kambara, last 10

DateOpponentScore
16.10.2026Taiyo Hirano L6-4, 6-3
16.10.2026Taiyo Hirano L6-4, 6-3
15.10.2026Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras L6-1, 6-3
14.10.2026Liam Youn L6-1, 6-2
13.10.2026Julian Zhang L6-2, 6-4
12.10.2026Kazuki Saito W6-4, 6-0
04.10.2026Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras L7-5, 6-3
03.10.2026Abdumalik Kamalov W2-6, 6-0, 6-0
02.10.2026Shotaro Yamamoto L6-2, 6-4
01.10.2026Kanata Ozaki W2-6, 6-3, 6-4

Aruth Chinsupakul, last 7

DateOpponentScore
16.10.2026Alexey Shtengelov L6-2, 6-2
16.10.2026Alexey Shtengelov L6-2, 6-2
15.10.2026Eita Suzuki L6-2, 3-6, 6-1
14.10.2026Haru Kawanaka L6-0, 6-1
12.10.2026Hien Quang Hien Pham L6-3, 6-2
06.09.2026Ori Hillel L7-6, 5-3
30.08.2026Aniketh Venkataraman L6-2, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-16: ATP UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Sota Kambara 39% at -909

Sota Kambara vs Aruth Chinsupakul: quick answers

Who will win Sota Kambara vs Aruth Chinsupakul?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Sota Kambara, giving them a 61% chance to win against Aruth Chinsupakul (39%).

Have Sota Kambara and Aruth Chinsupakul played before?

Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.

Who is in better form, Sota Kambara or Aruth Chinsupakul?

Sota Kambara is 2-8 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 5 Losses). Aruth Chinsupakul is 0-7 (current streak: 7 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Sota Kambara and Aruth Chinsupakul?

Sota Kambara is rated 5790 (ATP #4239) and Aruth Chinsupakul is rated 5543 (ATP #5214). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Sota Kambara vs Aruth Chinsupakul?

Sota Kambara is priced at -909 and Aruth Chinsupakul at +419, which implies a 90% and 19% chance to win. The model rates Aruth Chinsupakul 20 points higher than the odds do (39% vs 19%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.