Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik
Updated
Arthur Gea beat Jakub Mensik 7-6, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Jakub Mensik at 71%. Arthur Gea leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Gea is 8-2 in their last 10, Mensik 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Jakub Mensik a 71% favorite. At -167 the sportsbook implies 63% for Jakub Mensik, 9 points below the model's 71%.
Model minus book: -13 pts
Model minus book: +9 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Jakub Mensik at -167 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Arthur Gea | Jakub Mensik | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6867 | 6938 |
| Tour rank | ATP #65 | ATP #18 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 6-1 | 4-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 51-23 | 39-22 |
| UTR | 15.69 | 15.86 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1793 | 1896 |
| Best surface | Hard | Hard |
| Worst surface | Clay | Grass |
Head to head
Arthur Gea leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Arthur Gea | 7-6, 6-4 | China Shangai - Masters |
Recent form
Arthur Gea, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L | 4-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Jakub Mensik | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Ben Shelton | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 09.10.2026 | Ugo Humbert | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-1 |
| 07.10.2026 | Jaime Faria | W | 6-7, 6-1, 6-2 |
| 02.10.2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | L | 7-6, 6-7, 6-2 |
| 30.09.2026 | Zhizhen Zhang | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 29.09.2026 | Tomas Machac | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 28.09.2026 | Rigele Te | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 07.9.2026 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | L | 3-6, 6-7, 7-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
Jakub Mensik, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Adrian Mannarino | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 26.10.2026 | Lukas Neumayer | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Arthur Gea | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Francisco Cerundolo | W | 6-3, 3-6, 6-2 |
| 09.10.2026 | Miomir Kecmanovic | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 03.10.2026 | Francisco Cerundolo | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Alexander Bublik | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 25.09.2026 | Brandon Nakashima | L | 6-1, 3-6, 10-7 |
| 19.09.2026 | Ben Shelton | W | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 18.09.2026 | Learner Tien | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Arthur Gea | Jakub Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Walton | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 3-6, 6-2, 6-4 |
| Adrian Mannarino | 1-1 L 5-7, 6-4, 6-4, W 7-5, 6-3 |
0-2 L 6-4, 7-5, L 5-7, 7-6, 7-6 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 0-1 L 4-1 |
0-1 L 6-2, 4-6, 6-2 |
| Ben Shelton | 1-0 W 7-6, 7-6 |
1-1 W 5-7, 6-4, 6-3, L 6-3, 6-1 |
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | 1-1 L 3-6, 6-7, 7-6, 7-6, 6-4, W 7-6, 4-6, 10-7 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-5 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | 1-0 W 6-7, 6-4, 6-0 |
1-1 W 6-3, 3-6, 6-2, L 6-3, 6-3 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 1-0 W 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-7, 6-2 |
2-0 W 7-6, 0-6, 11-9, W 6-4, 7-6 |
| Jurij Rodionov | 1-0 W 6-3, 4-6, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-3, 3-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| Karen Khachanov | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-6, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-6 |
| Lukas Neumayer | 1-0 W 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
| Zhizhen Zhang | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: ATP Shangai - Masters (China), model gave Arthur Gea 29% at +142
Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik: quick answers
Who won Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik?
Arthur Gea beat Jakub Mensik 7-6, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Jakub Mensik at 71%.
What is the head-to-head record between Arthur Gea and Jakub Mensik?
Arthur Gea leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Arthur Gea 7-6, 6-4 at China Shangai - Masters.
Who is in better form, Arthur Gea or Jakub Mensik?
Arthur Gea is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Jakub Mensik is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Arthur Gea and Jakub Mensik?
Arthur Gea is rated 6867 (ATP #65) and Jakub Mensik is rated 6938 (ATP #18). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik?
Arthur Gea is priced at +142 and Jakub Mensik at -167, which implies a 41% and 63% chance to win. The model rates Jakub Mensik 9 points higher than the odds do (71% vs 63%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.