Ben Shelton vs Arthur Gea
Updated
Arthur Gea beat Ben Shelton 7-6, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Ben Shelton at 81%. Arthur Gea leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Shelton is 5-5 in their last 10, Gea 8-2.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Ben Shelton a 81% favorite. At -286 the sportsbook implies 74% for Ben Shelton, 7 points below the model's 81%.
Model minus book: +7 pts
Model minus book: -12 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Ben Shelton at -286 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Ben Shelton | Arthur Gea | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6948 | 6867 |
| Tour rank | ATP #14 | ATP #65 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 2-2 | 5-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 43-20 | 51-23 |
| UTR | 16.11 | 15.69 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 2026 | 1777 |
| Best surface | Hard | Hard |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Arthur Gea leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.2026 | Arthur Gea | 7-6, 7-6 | China Shangai - Masters |
Recent form
Ben Shelton, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Jerome Kym | L | 6-3, 6-7, 7-6 |
| 27.10.2026 | Aleksandar Kovacevic | W | 6-7, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 11.10.2026 | Arthur Gea | L | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 09.10.2026 | Daniel Altmaier | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 19.09.2026 | Jakub Mensik | L | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 18.09.2026 | Jiri Lehecka | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 13.09.2026 | Alexander Zverev | L | 6-3, 7-6, 5-7, 6-2 |
| 12.09.2026 | Frances Tiafoe | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-3, 7-5 |
| 09.09.2026 | Carlos Alcaraz | W | 6-7, 6-1, 6-3, 1-6, 7-6 |
| 07.9.2026 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | W | 6-2, 6-3, 6-4 |
Arthur Gea, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L | 4-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Jakub Mensik | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Ben Shelton | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 09.10.2026 | Ugo Humbert | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-1 |
| 07.10.2026 | Jaime Faria | W | 6-7, 6-1, 6-2 |
| 02.10.2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | L | 7-6, 6-7, 6-2 |
| 30.09.2026 | Zhizhen Zhang | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 29.09.2026 | Tomas Machac | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 28.09.2026 | Rigele Te | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 07.9.2026 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | L | 3-6, 6-7, 7-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Ben Shelton | Arthur Gea |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Mannarino | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-7, 6-3 |
1-1 L 5-7, 6-4, 6-4, W 7-5, 6-3 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | 1-0 W 6-7, 7-6, 7-6 |
1-1 L 6-2, 7-6, W 7-5, 4-6, 6-4 |
| Denis Shapovalov | 2-0 W 7-6, 6-7, 6-3, 6-4, W 4-6, 6-4, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | 1-0 W 6-3, 5-7, 7-6, 7-5 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-7, 6-2 |
| Jaime Faria | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-7, 6-1, 6-2 |
| Jakub Mensik | 1-1 L 5-7, 6-4, 6-3, W 6-3, 6-1 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-4 |
| Jiri Lehecka | 1-1 L 6-4, 6-4, W 6-7, 7-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 7-5, 7-6, 7-5 |
| Ugo Humbert | 2-0 W 6-7, 6-3, 6-4, W 6-3, 7-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-4, 3-6, 6-1 |
| Zhizhen Zhang | 1-0 W 7-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
Ben Shelton vs Arthur Gea: quick answers
Who won Ben Shelton vs Arthur Gea?
Arthur Gea beat Ben Shelton 7-6, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Ben Shelton at 81%.
What is the head-to-head record between Ben Shelton and Arthur Gea?
Arthur Gea leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 11, 2026, won by Arthur Gea 7-6, 7-6 at China Shangai - Masters.
Who is in better form, Ben Shelton or Arthur Gea?
Ben Shelton is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Arthur Gea is 8-2 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Ben Shelton and Arthur Gea?
Ben Shelton is rated 6948 (ATP #14) and Arthur Gea is rated 6867 (ATP #65). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Ben Shelton vs Arthur Gea?
Ben Shelton is priced at -286 and Arthur Gea at +224, which implies a 74% and 31% chance to win. The model rates Ben Shelton 7 points higher than the odds do (81% vs 74%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.