Arthur Fils vs Pavel Kotov
Updated
Arthur Fils beat Pavel Kotov 6-3, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Arthur Fils leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Fils is 7-3 in their last 10, Kotov 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Arthur Fils a 95% favorite. At -1000 the sportsbook implies 91% for Arthur Fils, 4 points below the model's 95%.
Model minus book: +4 pts
Model minus book: -9 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Arthur Fils at -1000 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Arthur Fils | Pavel Kotov | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6981 | 6716 |
| Tour rank | ATP #4 | ATP #198 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 4-1 | 9-3 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 41-14 | 36-17 |
| UTR | 16.29 | 14.52 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 2034 | 1592 |
| Best surface | Clay | Hard |
| Worst surface | Grass | Clay |
Head to head
Arthur Fils leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10.10.2026 | Arthur Fils | 6-3, 6-4 | China Shangai - Masters |
Recent form
Arthur Fils, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Alex Michelsen | W | 4-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 27.10.2026 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 24.10.2026 | Jan Lennard Struff | L | 6-4, 6-7, 7-6 |
| 23.10.2026 | Alex Michelsen | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 12.10.2026 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 10.10.2026 | Pavel Kotov | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 04.10.2026 | Valentin Vacherot | L | 7-5, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Frances Tiafoe | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 30.09.2026 | Luca Van Assche | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 29.09.2026 | Kamil Majchrzak | W | 6-2, 3-6, 6-1 |
Pavel Kotov, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Vit Kopriva | L | 6-1, 4-1 |
| 10.10.2026 | Arthur Fils | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Tallon Griekspoor | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 06.10.2026 | Aleksandar Vukic | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Martin Damm | W | 7-6, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 23.09.2026 | Shintaro Mochizuki | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 22.09.2026 | Luca Castelnuovo | W | 6-7, 7-5, 7-5 |
| 20.09.2026 | Marat Sharipov | L | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 19.09.2026 | Bernard Tomic | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 18.09.2026 | Rio Noguchi | W | 6-1, 7-6 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Arthur Fils | Pavel Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Luca Van Assche | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 3-0 |
| Martin Damm | 1-0 W 2-6, 6-1, 6-1 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-7, 6-3 |
Arthur Fils vs Pavel Kotov: quick answers
Who won Arthur Fils vs Pavel Kotov?
Arthur Fils beat Pavel Kotov 6-3, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Arthur Fils and Pavel Kotov?
Arthur Fils leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 10, 2026, won by Arthur Fils 6-3, 6-4 at China Shangai - Masters.
Who is in better form, Arthur Fils or Pavel Kotov?
Arthur Fils is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Pavel Kotov is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Arthur Fils and Pavel Kotov?
Arthur Fils is rated 6981 (ATP #4) and Pavel Kotov is rated 6716 (ATP #198). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Arthur Fils vs Pavel Kotov?
Arthur Fils is priced at -1000 and Pavel Kotov at +613, which implies a 91% and 14% chance to win. The model rates Arthur Fils 4 points higher than the odds do (95% vs 91%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.