Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Lorenzo Musetti, giving them a 65% chance to win against Arthur Fery (35%). They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Fery is 4-6 in their last 10, Musetti 7-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti a 65% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: +2 pts
Model minus book: -9 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Lorenzo Musetti at -286 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Arthur Fery | Lorenzo Musetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6851 | 6935 |
| Tour rank | ATP #82 | ATP #20 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 2-3 | 6-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 40-22 | 28-14 |
| UTR | 15.55 | 16.05 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1798 | 1848 |
| Best surface | Grass | Clay |
| Worst surface | Clay | Hard |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Arthur Fery | 6-4, 5-7, 6-4 | Austria Wien |
| 01.09.2026 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-3, 6-3, 7-5 | USA US Open |
Recent form
Arthur Fery, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Lorenzo Musetti | W | 6-4, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 26.10.2026 | Jacob Fearnley | W | 5-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Borna Gojo | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 09.10.2026 | Karen Khachanov | L | 7-6, 6-7, 7-6 |
| 07.10.2026 | Marin Cilic | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 01.10.2026 | Jaime Faria | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 19.09.2026 | Alvaro Guillen Meza | W | 7-5, 6-0 |
| 01.09.2026 | Lorenzo Musetti | L | 6-3, 6-3, 7-5 |
| 29.08.2026 | Ignacio Buse | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 29.08.2026 | James Duckworth | L | 6-4, 1-2 |
Lorenzo Musetti, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Arthur Fery | L | 6-4, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 28.10.2026 | Frances Tiafoe | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 25.10.2026 | Taylor Fritz | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Flavio Cobolli | W | 4-6, 6-2, 7-5 |
| 23.10.2026 | Luca Van Assche | W | 7-6, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Moise Kouame | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Matteo Arnaldi | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Yi Zhou | L | 7-6, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 03.09.2026 | Dane Sweeny | L | 3-6, 6-1, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 01.09.2026 | Arthur Fery | W | 6-3, 6-3, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Arthur Fery | Lorenzo Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Alex De Minaur | 0-1 L 7-5, 7-6 |
1-0 W 7-5, 3-6, 7-5 |
| Dane Sweeny | 1-0 W 6-4, 4-6, 6-1 |
0-1 L 3-6, 6-1, 6-2, 6-2 |
| Flavio Cobolli | 2-0 W 6-4, 7-6, 6-0, W 7-6, 6-4, 6-1 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-2, 7-5 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | 0-1 L 7-6, 3-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-4 |
| Jaime Faria | 0-1 L 6-4, 3-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-2 |
| Nicolas Mejia | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
| Rafael Jodar | 0-1 L 6-3, 3-2 |
0-2 L 6-4, 6-3, L 1-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-1, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-7, 6-2, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: ATP Wien (Austria), model gave Arthur Fery 35% at +210
Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti: quick answers
Who will win Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Lorenzo Musetti, giving them a 65% chance to win against Arthur Fery (35%).
What is the head-to-head record between Arthur Fery and Lorenzo Musetti?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Arthur Fery 6-4, 5-7, 6-4 at Austria Wien.
Who is in better form, Arthur Fery or Lorenzo Musetti?
Arthur Fery is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Lorenzo Musetti is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Arthur Fery and Lorenzo Musetti?
Arthur Fery is rated 6851 (ATP #82) and Lorenzo Musetti is rated 6935 (ATP #20). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti?
Arthur Fery is priced at +210 and Lorenzo Musetti at -286, which implies a 32% and 74% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.