Arthur Bouquier vs Maximilian Marterer
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Arthur Bouquier, giving them a 76% chance to win against Maximilian Marterer (24%). Maximilian Marterer leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Bouquier is 4-6 in their last 10, Marterer 5-5. At -106, the odds imply 51% for Arthur Bouquier, below the model's 76%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Arthur Bouquier a 76% favorite. At -106 the sportsbook implies 51% for Arthur Bouquier, 24 points below the model's 76%.
Model minus book: +24 pts
Model minus book: -33 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Arthur Bouquier at -106 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Arthur Bouquier | Maximilian Marterer | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6540 | 6532 |
| Tour rank | ATP #441 | ATP #464 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 9-12 | 8-10 |
| UTR | 14.1 | 13.68 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1505 | – |
| Best surface | Hard | – |
| Worst surface | Clay | – |
Head to head
Maximilian Marterer leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Maximilian Marterer | 6-3, 7-6 | France Sarreguemines |
Recent form
Arthur Bouquier, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Kilian Feldbausch | L | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Maximilian Marterer | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 21.10.2026 | Niels Visker | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 01.03.2026 | Neil Oberleitner | L | 6-7, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 25.02.2026 | Laurent Lokoli | L | 6-4, 6-7, 6-2 |
| 23.02.2026 | Jacob Fearnley | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 19.02.2026 | Alexander Blockx | L | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 17.02.2026 | Kimmer Coppejans | W | 7-5, 0-6, 7-5 |
| 13.02.2026 | Benjamin Bonzi | L | 6-7, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 11.02.2026 | Luca Nardi | W | 6-4, 4-6, 7-6 |
Maximilian Marterer, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Johannus Monday | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 27.10.2026 | Finn Murgett | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 24.10.2026 | Arthur Nagel | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 23.10.2026 | Thijs Boogaard | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Arthur Bouquier | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 20.10.2026 | Tom Paris | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 14.09.2026 | Pavel Lagutin | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 13.09.2026 | Federico Arnaboldi | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 23.08.2026 | Benjamin Hassan | L | 7-5, 6-7, 4-1 |
| 22.08.2026 | Daniel Masur | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Arthur Bouquier | Maximilian Marterer |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Masur | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: ATP Sarreguemines (France), model gave Arthur Bouquier 76% at -106
- 2026-10-26: ATP Sarreguemines (France), model gave Arthur Bouquier 76% at -106
- 2026-10-25: ATP Sarreguemines (France), model gave Arthur Bouquier 76% at -106
- 2026-10-24: ATP Sarreguemines (France), model gave Arthur Bouquier 76% at -106
- 2026-10-23: ATP Sarreguemines (France), model gave Arthur Bouquier 76% at -106
- 2026-10-22: ATP Sarreguemines (France), model gave Arthur Bouquier 76% at -106
- 2026-10-21: ATP Sarreguemines (France), model gave Arthur Bouquier 76% at -106
Arthur Bouquier vs Maximilian Marterer: quick answers
Who will win Arthur Bouquier vs Maximilian Marterer?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Arthur Bouquier, giving them a 76% chance to win against Maximilian Marterer (24%).
What is the head-to-head record between Arthur Bouquier and Maximilian Marterer?
Maximilian Marterer leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Maximilian Marterer 6-3, 7-6 at France Sarreguemines.
Who is in better form, Arthur Bouquier or Maximilian Marterer?
Arthur Bouquier is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Maximilian Marterer is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Arthur Bouquier and Maximilian Marterer?
Arthur Bouquier is rated 6540 (ATP #441) and Maximilian Marterer is rated 6532 (ATP #464). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Arthur Bouquier vs Maximilian Marterer?
Arthur Bouquier is priced at -106 and Maximilian Marterer at -133, which implies a 51% and 57% chance to win. The model rates Arthur Bouquier 24 points higher than the odds do (76% vs 51%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.