Thanapet Chanta vs Arnav Paparkar

ATP Mumbai (IX) (India), Hard. Wednesday, October 28, 2026, 08:30.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Thanapet Chanta, giving them a 67% chance to win against Arnav Paparkar (33%). Arnav Paparkar leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Chanta is 8-2 in their last 10, Paparkar 6-4. At +250, the odds imply 29% for Arnav Paparkar, below the model's 33%.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 28, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Thanapet Chanta a 67% favorite. At +250 the sportsbook implies 29% for Arnav Paparkar, 5 points below the model's 33%.

Model
67%
Book
80%

Model minus book: -13 pts

Model
33%
Book
29%

Model minus book: +5 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Arnav Paparkar at +250 · Model track record

Player comparison

Thanapet ChantaArnav Paparkar
Tennis Gauge rating64226373
Tour rankATP #717ATP #877
Last 10 matches8-26-4
Last 30 days5-12-1
Current streak1 Loss2 Wins
Season record29-1811-9
UTR13.4913.24

Head to head

Arnav Paparkar leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
22.10.2026Arnav Paparkar6-2, 6-4India Mumbai

Recent form

Thanapet Chanta, last 10

DateOpponentScore
22.10.2026Arnav Paparkar L6-2, 6-4
21.10.2026Kabir Hans W6-1, 6-2
17.10.2026Karan Singh L7-6, 6-2
16.10.2026S D Prajwal Dev W7-6, 7-6
16.10.2026S D Prajwal Dev W7-6, 7-6
15.10.2026Pawit Sornlaksup W3-6, 6-3, 6-4
13.10.2026Garrett Johns W6-2, 7-5
13.09.2026Markus Malaszszak W6-3, 6-2
12.09.2026Pawit Sornlaksup W6-4, 6-2
11.09.2026Thantub Suksumrarn W6-0, 6-0

Arnav Paparkar, last 10

DateOpponentScore
22.10.2026Thanapet Chanta W6-2, 6-4
21.10.2026S D Prajwal Dev W6-3, 1-0
15.10.2026S D Prajwal Dev L6-4, 6-2
14.10.2026Chirag Duhan W7-5, 7-6
06.09.2026Andrew Johnson L6-4, 6-1
08.08.2026Egor Pleshivtsev L7-6, 6-3
07.08.2026Martin Borisiouk W7-5, 1-6, 7-5
06.08.2026Alexander Klichnikov W6-3, 6-3
10.07.2026Jordan Lee L2-6, 5-7
09.07.2026Ryo Tabata W6-2, 6-1

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentThanapet ChantaArnav Paparkar
Kuan Shou Chen 1-0
W 6-3, 6-2
1-0
W 6-2, 6-4
S D Prajwal Dev 2-0
W 7-6, 7-6, W 7-6, 7-6
1-1
W 6-3, 1-0, L 6-4, 6-2

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-27: ATP Mumbai (IX) (India), model gave Thanapet Chanta 67% at -400
  • 2026-10-26: ATP Mumbai (IX) (India), model gave Thanapet Chanta 67% at -400
  • 2026-10-25: ATP Mumbai (IX) (India), model gave Thanapet Chanta 67% at -400
  • 2026-10-24: ATP Mumbai (IX) (India), model gave Thanapet Chanta 67% at -400
  • 2026-10-23: ATP Mumbai (IX) (India), model gave Thanapet Chanta 67% at -400
  • 2026-10-22: ATP Mumbai (IX) (India), model gave Thanapet Chanta 67% at -400
  • 2026-10-21: ATP Mumbai (IX) (India), model gave Thanapet Chanta 67% at -400

Thanapet Chanta vs Arnav Paparkar: quick answers

Who will win Thanapet Chanta vs Arnav Paparkar?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Thanapet Chanta, giving them a 67% chance to win against Arnav Paparkar (33%).

What is the head-to-head record between Thanapet Chanta and Arnav Paparkar?

Arnav Paparkar leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Arnav Paparkar 6-2, 6-4 at India Mumbai.

Who is in better form, Thanapet Chanta or Arnav Paparkar?

Thanapet Chanta is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Arnav Paparkar is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Thanapet Chanta and Arnav Paparkar?

Thanapet Chanta is rated 6422 (ATP #717) and Arnav Paparkar is rated 6373 (ATP #877). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Thanapet Chanta vs Arnav Paparkar?

Thanapet Chanta is priced at -400 and Arnav Paparkar at +250, which implies a 80% and 29% chance to win. The model rates Arnav Paparkar 5 points higher than the odds do (33% vs 29%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.